Retired Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman dominates trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the Florida Democratic US Senate primary after officially filing paperwork on April 22 and completing qualifying by April 24, capping the candidate field for the August 18 contest. His $8.2 million first-quarter fundraising, national name recognition from the 2019 Trump impeachment testimony, endorsement from Democrat Hector Mujica who dropped out April 6, and recent statewide tour focusing on affordability and corruption have driven support consolidation in this low-turnout primary. Sitting Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds second at 5.5% on local incumbency, but others like former Gov. Charlie Crist trail amid weaker momentum and fundraising. Late scandals or polling shifts could alter odds before the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlexander Vindman 86.9%
Jared Moskowitz 5.5%
Josh Weil 3.4%
Charlie Crist 1.6%
$134,546 Vol.
$134,546 Vol.
Alexander Vindman
87%
Jared Moskowitz
5%
Josh Weil
3%
Charlie Crist
2%
Angie Nixon
1%
Joey Atkins
1%
Alan Grayson
1%
Jennifer Jenkins
<1%
Alexander Vindman 86.9%
Jared Moskowitz 5.5%
Josh Weil 3.4%
Charlie Crist 1.6%
$134,546 Vol.
$134,546 Vol.
Alexander Vindman
87%
Jared Moskowitz
5%
Josh Weil
3%
Charlie Crist
2%
Angie Nixon
1%
Joey Atkins
1%
Alan Grayson
1%
Jennifer Jenkins
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Retired Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman dominates trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the Florida Democratic US Senate primary after officially filing paperwork on April 22 and completing qualifying by April 24, capping the candidate field for the August 18 contest. His $8.2 million first-quarter fundraising, national name recognition from the 2019 Trump impeachment testimony, endorsement from Democrat Hector Mujica who dropped out April 6, and recent statewide tour focusing on affordability and corruption have driven support consolidation in this low-turnout primary. Sitting Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds second at 5.5% on local incumbency, but others like former Gov. Charlie Crist trail amid weaker momentum and fundraising. Late scandals or polling shifts could alter odds before the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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