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icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 3

Eurovision 2026: Top 3

icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 3

Eurovision 2026: Top 3

$103,776 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$103,776 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Finland

Finland

$23,150 Vol.

70%

icon for Greece

Greece

$20,423 Vol.

53%

icon for France

France

$7,405 Vol.

42%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$8,535 Vol.

34%

icon for Australia

Australia

$2,273 Vol.

31%

icon for Israel

Israel

$4,751 Vol.

31%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$4,367 Vol.

17%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$917 Vol.

16%

icon for Italy

Italy

$2,320 Vol.

15%

icon for Romania

Romania

$3,510 Vol.

15%

icon for Luxembourg

Luxembourg

$44 Vol.

13%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$201 Vol.

12%

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$467 Vol.

10%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$175 Vol.

9%

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$117 Vol.

9%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$152 Vol.

9%

icon for Norway

Norway

$1,259 Vol.

8%

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$457 Vol.

8%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$153 Vol.

6%

icon for Poland

Poland

$405 Vol.

6%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$544 Vol.

6%

icon for Georgia

Georgia

$15,263 Vol.

6%

icon for Albania

Albania

$265 Vol.

6%

icon for Estonia

Estonia

$83 Vol.

6%

icon for Malta

Malta

$1,548 Vol.

6%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$531 Vol.

6%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$145 Vol.

5%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$437 Vol.

5%

icon for Latvia

Latvia

$315 Vol.

10%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$406 Vol.

5%

icon for Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

$951 Vol.

4%

icon for Germany

Germany

$924 Vol.

3%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$443 Vol.

3%

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$448 Vol.

3%

icon for Austria

Austria

$402 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen leads trader consensus as the frontrunner for a top 3 finish at Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, with overwhelming implied probabilities reflecting its powerful UMK national selection win, soaring fan polls, and broad appeal blending pop and rock elements. Israel's Noam Bettan with "Michelle" trails closely, buoyed by strong televote potential amid recent odds climbs, while Greece's Akylas and France's Monroe round out top contenders via catchy hooks and precursor buzz. All 35 entries are now released post-national finals, stabilizing markets, but jury-public vote splits and geopolitical narratives add volatility. Watch first semi-final qualifiers on May 12 and allocation impacts ahead of the May 16 grand final.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$103,776
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen leads trader consensus as the frontrunner for a top 3 finish at Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, with overwhelming implied probabilities reflecting its powerful UMK national selection win, soaring fan polls, and broad appeal blending pop and rock elements. Israel's Noam Bettan with "Michelle" trails closely, buoyed by strong televote potential amid recent odds climbs, while Greece's Akylas and France's Monroe round out top contenders via catchy hooks and precursor buzz. All 35 entries are now released post-national finals, stabilizing markets, but jury-public vote splits and geopolitical narratives add volatility. Watch first semi-final qualifiers on May 12 and allocation impacts ahead of the May 16 grand final.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$103,776
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Related

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Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

28%
icon for Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

91%
icon for Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

80%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 3" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 70%, followed by "Greece" at 53%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 3" has generated $103.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 3," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 3" is "Finland" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Greece" at 53%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 3" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.