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icon for ¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?

¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?

¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?

Sí

24% probabilidad
Polymarket

$248,517 Vol.

Sí

24% probabilidad
Polymarket

$248,517 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Enhanced U.S. travel screening, entry restrictions, and rerouting of passengers from affected regions in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, implemented by the CDC and DHS since mid-May 2026, represent the primary driver behind the 76.5% market-implied probability of no Ebola case reaching the United States by June 30. Official assessments from the CDC and WHO continue to classify the risk to the American public as low, with no confirmed cases linked to the ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak reported domestically despite rising confirmed and suspected cases abroad. Enhanced monitoring at designated airports, voluntary evacuations of exposed U.S. citizens to European facilities for observation, and the short remaining timeframe further support trader consensus on containment. New case data or any breach in screening protocols could shift these odds before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$248,517
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Enhanced U.S. travel screening, entry restrictions, and rerouting of passengers from affected regions in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, implemented by the CDC and DHS since mid-May 2026, represent the primary driver behind the 76.5% market-implied probability of no Ebola case reaching the United States by June 30. Official assessments from the CDC and WHO continue to classify the risk to the American public as low, with no confirmed cases linked to the ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak reported domestically despite rising confirmed and suspected cases abroad. Enhanced monitoring at designated airports, voluntary evacuations of exposed U.S. citizens to European facilities for observation, and the short remaining timeframe further support trader consensus on containment. New case data or any breach in screening protocols could shift these odds before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$248,520
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Habrá algún caso de Ébola en EE. UU. para el 30 de junio?" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?" ha generado $248.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 15, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?" es "¿Habrá algún caso de Ébola en EE. UU. para el 30 de junio?" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.