Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project overnight lows in Shanghai on June 6 primarily between 19°C and 22°C, driven by typical early-summer atmospheric conditions including moderating easterly flows and increasing humidity ahead of the plum rain season. These temperatures align with historical climatological baselines for the period, where daily minima average near 20°C as seasonal warming progresses without strong cold-air intrusions. Recent model runs show limited divergence, with minimal risk of significant cooling from frontal passages or enhanced cloud cover that could drop readings below 19°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds centers on 21°C as the most probable minimum, consistent with ensemble guidance and the low likelihood of extremes given current sea-surface temperatures and regional pressure patterns. Updated forecasts expected in the next 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 6?
21°C 36%
19°C 17%
22°C 15%
20°C 12%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
17%
20°C
12%
21°C
36%
22°C
20%
23°C
7%
24°C
9%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 36%
19°C 17%
22°C 15%
20°C 12%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
17%
20°C
12%
21°C
36%
22°C
20%
23°C
7%
24°C
9%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project overnight lows in Shanghai on June 6 primarily between 19°C and 22°C, driven by typical early-summer atmospheric conditions including moderating easterly flows and increasing humidity ahead of the plum rain season. These temperatures align with historical climatological baselines for the period, where daily minima average near 20°C as seasonal warming progresses without strong cold-air intrusions. Recent model runs show limited divergence, with minimal risk of significant cooling from frontal passages or enhanced cloud cover that could drop readings below 19°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds centers on 21°C as the most probable minimum, consistent with ensemble guidance and the low likelihood of extremes given current sea-surface temperatures and regional pressure patterns. Updated forecasts expected in the next 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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