Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C on June 6, driven by the prevailing southwest monsoon that maintains elevated humidity and cloud cover, limiting overnight radiative cooling. Thunderstorms and showers forecast for the period further moderate temperature drops by enhancing mixing and reducing clear-sky heat loss. These conditions align with typical early-June climatology, where average overnight lows hover near 26–27°C, though minor shifts in rain timing or wind patterns could nudge the actual minimum between 25–28°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 6?
27°C 22%
26°C 20%
28°C 11%
29°C 9%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
20%
27°C
22%
28°C
11%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
27°C 22%
26°C 20%
28°C 11%
29°C 9%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
20%
27°C
22%
28°C
11%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C on June 6, driven by the prevailing southwest monsoon that maintains elevated humidity and cloud cover, limiting overnight radiative cooling. Thunderstorms and showers forecast for the period further moderate temperature drops by enhancing mixing and reducing clear-sky heat loss. These conditions align with typical early-June climatology, where average overnight lows hover near 26–27°C, though minor shifts in rain timing or wind patterns could nudge the actual minimum between 25–28°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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