Current Met Office guidance for London indicates an overnight minimum near 12°C into June 6, with ensemble models showing limited spread around 11–14°C under a northwesterly flow and clearing skies after recent showers. This aligns with trader emphasis on 12°C and 13°C outcomes, reflecting post-May heatwave cooling toward seasonal norms where average June lows sit near 11–13°C. Short-term forecast stability and absence of significant model divergence or atypical high-pressure setups limit upside risk above 14°C while capping downside potential below 11°C absent unexpected radiative cooling. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in London on June 6?
13°C 38%
12°C 31%
14°C 10%
15°C 7%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
31%
13°C
38%
14°C
10%
15°C
7%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 38%
12°C 31%
14°C 10%
15°C 7%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
31%
13°C
38%
14°C
10%
15°C
7%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office guidance for London indicates an overnight minimum near 12°C into June 6, with ensemble models showing limited spread around 11–14°C under a northwesterly flow and clearing skies after recent showers. This aligns with trader emphasis on 12°C and 13°C outcomes, reflecting post-May heatwave cooling toward seasonal norms where average June lows sit near 11–13°C. Short-term forecast stability and absence of significant model divergence or atypical high-pressure setups limit upside risk above 14°C while capping downside potential below 11°C absent unexpected radiative cooling. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes