Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project a Seoul daytime high of 25–28°C on June 6 under mostly cloudy conditions and moderate southwesterly flow, consistent with the early-summer warming trend and climatological averages near 26–28°C for the date. This narrow consensus range underpins the 83% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher, while lower outcomes reflect limited downside risk from unexpected cloud cover or brief showers. Short-range guidance shows minimal model spread, with resolution depending on the official maximum recorded between 9 a.m. and evening observation. Updated KMA briefings ahead of the date could refine the final distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 6 de junio?
25°C o más 85%
24°C 15%
23°C 1.5%
20°C 1.0%
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
15%
25°C o más
85%
25°C o más 85%
24°C 15%
23°C 1.5%
20°C 1.0%
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
15%
25°C o más
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project a Seoul daytime high of 25–28°C on June 6 under mostly cloudy conditions and moderate southwesterly flow, consistent with the early-summer warming trend and climatological averages near 26–28°C for the date. This narrow consensus range underpins the 83% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher, while lower outcomes reflect limited downside risk from unexpected cloud cover or brief showers. Short-range guidance shows minimal model spread, with resolution depending on the official maximum recorded between 9 a.m. and evening observation. Updated KMA briefings ahead of the date could refine the final distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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