Current short-range forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble runs show Munich’s June 6 maximum temperature centered near 21–23 °C, driven by a mild south-westerly flow under partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical June climatology for the region places the average daily high around 22 °C, providing context for why the 21 °C, 22 °C, and 23 °C bins hold nearly equal market-implied odds near 28–30 % each. Updated model guidance tonight and tomorrow morning will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution against official DWD observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on June 6?
22°C 30%
21°C 29%
23°C 27%
24°C or higher 12.3%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
29%
22°C
30%
23°C
27%
24°C or higher
12%
22°C 30%
21°C 29%
23°C 27%
24°C or higher 12.3%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
29%
22°C
30%
23°C
27%
24°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble runs show Munich’s June 6 maximum temperature centered near 21–23 °C, driven by a mild south-westerly flow under partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical June climatology for the region places the average daily high around 22 °C, providing context for why the 21 °C, 22 °C, and 23 °C bins hold nearly equal market-implied odds near 28–30 % each. Updated model guidance tonight and tomorrow morning will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution against official DWD observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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