Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a typical early-winter day in São Paulo, with daily maximum temperatures centered on 21°C, aligning with the market's leading 50.5% implied probability for that outcome. June averages place highs near 22°C amid the Southern Hemisphere dry season, and recent model runs show stable high-pressure conditions suppressing significant warming or cooling. Official station data from nearby June dates have resolved similarly around 21°C, reinforcing trader consensus. Resolution will depend on the precise daily maximum recorded by authorized weather services, with 20–22°C outcomes together capturing over 90% of current odds due to narrow forecast spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 5?
21°C 51%
22°C 24%
20°C 20%
19°C 5%
$12,841 Vol.
$12,841 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
51%
22°C
24%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 51%
22°C 24%
20°C 20%
19°C 5%
$12,841 Vol.
$12,841 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
51%
22°C
24%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a typical early-winter day in São Paulo, with daily maximum temperatures centered on 21°C, aligning with the market's leading 50.5% implied probability for that outcome. June averages place highs near 22°C amid the Southern Hemisphere dry season, and recent model runs show stable high-pressure conditions suppressing significant warming or cooling. Official station data from nearby June dates have resolved similarly around 21°C, reinforcing trader consensus. Resolution will depend on the precise daily maximum recorded by authorized weather services, with 20–22°C outcomes together capturing over 90% of current odds due to narrow forecast spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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