Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank's unopposed primary path and the district's R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index underpin trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 56.5% in Colorado's 5th Congressional District, anchored in conservative Colorado Springs with no Democratic win since 1972. Recent Q1 2026 fundraising reports show Democratic frontrunner Jessica Killin outraising Crank, fueling brief optimism after Cook Political Report shifted from Solid Republican to Likely Republican, but low-volume selling corrected implied probabilities back toward structural Republican edges like Crank's 54.7% 2024 margin and military-heavy electorate. The June 30 primaries and November 3 general election remain key catalysts amid a crowded Democratic field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCO-05 House Election Winner
CO-05 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
64%
Democratic Party
35%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$515 Vol.
64%
Democratic Party
$3,542 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank's unopposed primary path and the district's R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index underpin trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 56.5% in Colorado's 5th Congressional District, anchored in conservative Colorado Springs with no Democratic win since 1972. Recent Q1 2026 fundraising reports show Democratic frontrunner Jessica Killin outraising Crank, fueling brief optimism after Cook Political Report shifted from Solid Republican to Likely Republican, but low-volume selling corrected implied probabilities back toward structural Republican edges like Crank's 54.7% 2024 margin and military-heavy electorate. The June 30 primaries and November 3 general election remain key catalysts amid a crowded Democratic field.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,056End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank's unopposed primary path and the district's R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index underpin trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 56.5% in Colorado's 5th Congressional District, anchored in conservative Colorado Springs with no Democratic win since 1972. Recent Q1 2026 fundraising reports show Democratic frontrunner Jessica Killin outraising Crank, fueling brief optimism after Cook Political Report shifted from Solid Republican to Likely Republican, but low-volume selling corrected implied probabilities back toward structural Republican edges like Crank's 54.7% 2024 margin and military-heavy electorate. The June 30 primaries and November 3 general election remain key catalysts amid a crowded Democratic field.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$4,056End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank's unopposed primary path and the district's R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index underpin trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 56.5% in Colorado's 5th Congressional District, anchored in conservative Colorado Springs with no Democratic win since 1972. Recent Q1 2026 fundraising reports show Democratic frontrunner Jessica Killin outraising Crank, fueling brief optimism after Cook Political Report shifted from Solid Republican to Likely Republican, but low-volume selling corrected implied probabilities back toward structural Republican edges like Crank's 54.7% 2024 margin and military-heavy electorate. The June 30 primaries and November 3 general election remain key catalysts amid a crowded Democratic field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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