Incumbent Republican Rep. Jeff Hurd commands 97.5% trader consensus to win Colorado's 3rd Congressional District Republican primary on June 30, driven by President Trump's March 20 re-endorsement after briefly backing challenger Hope Scheppelman, who dropped out days later, clearing Hurd's path amid his incumbency advantages, superior fundraising, and establishment backing from groups like America First Policy. Recent April developments, including far-right former state Rep. Ron Hanks securing ballot access via party assembly despite Hurd facing boos over voting record critiques, have failed to dent Hurd's lead, reflecting skin-in-the-game dismissal of late challengers in low-turnout primaries. Upsets could arise from Trump reversing endorsement again, a personal scandal, or grassroots backlash boosting turnout against Hurd's moderate votes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCO-03 Republican Primary Winner
CO-03 Republican Primary Winner
Jeff Hurd
97%
Hope Scheppelman
2%
Jeff Hurd
97%
Hope Scheppelman
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Republican Rep. Jeff Hurd commands 97.5% trader consensus to win Colorado's 3rd Congressional District Republican primary on June 30, driven by President Trump's March 20 re-endorsement after briefly backing challenger Hope Scheppelman, who dropped out days later, clearing Hurd's path amid his incumbency advantages, superior fundraising, and establishment backing from groups like America First Policy. Recent April developments, including far-right former state Rep. Ron Hanks securing ballot access via party assembly despite Hurd facing boos over voting record critiques, have failed to dent Hurd's lead, reflecting skin-in-the-game dismissal of late challengers in low-turnout primaries. Upsets could arise from Trump reversing endorsement again, a personal scandal, or grassroots backlash boosting turnout against Hurd's moderate votes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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