Trader consensus implies a 91% probability for Democratic Party of Korea candidate Shin Yong-han to win the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election, driven by recent polls showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Young-hwan by wide margins—such as a April 12 Gallup survey (55%-29%) and an April 24 ARS poll (51%-30%)—reflecting Democratic strength in the province amid national trends favoring the opposition in local races. Shin secured his nomination on April 4 after a primary runoff victory with party leader endorsements, while Kim overcame an initial nomination cutoff via court injunction before clinching his primary on April 27 amid internal party friction that may have eroded his support. A major scandal, aggressive People Power Party base mobilization, or shift among undecided voters could challenge this lead before early voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChungcheongbuk Province Governor Election Winner
Chungcheongbuk Province Governor Election Winner
Shin Yong-han 92%
Kim Young-hwan 4.8%
Do Jong-hwan 3.5%
Lee Jong-bae 3.4%
$28,404 Vol.
$28,404 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
92%
Kim Young-hwan
5%
Do Jong-hwan
4%
Lee Jong-bae
3%
Noh Yeong-min
1%
Cho Gil-hyeong
1%
Yoon Hee-geun
<1%
Song Ki-sub
<1%
Shin Yong-han 92%
Kim Young-hwan 4.8%
Do Jong-hwan 3.5%
Lee Jong-bae 3.4%
$28,404 Vol.
$28,404 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
92%
Kim Young-hwan
5%
Do Jong-hwan
4%
Lee Jong-bae
3%
Noh Yeong-min
1%
Cho Gil-hyeong
1%
Yoon Hee-geun
<1%
Song Ki-sub
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus implies a 91% probability for Democratic Party of Korea candidate Shin Yong-han to win the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election, driven by recent polls showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Young-hwan by wide margins—such as a April 12 Gallup survey (55%-29%) and an April 24 ARS poll (51%-30%)—reflecting Democratic strength in the province amid national trends favoring the opposition in local races. Shin secured his nomination on April 4 after a primary runoff victory with party leader endorsements, while Kim overcame an initial nomination cutoff via court injunction before clinching his primary on April 27 amid internal party friction that may have eroded his support. A major scandal, aggressive People Power Party base mobilization, or shift among undecided voters could challenge this lead before early voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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