Civil Contract's dominant 94.5% trader consensus in the June 7 National Assembly election stems from its consistent double-digit leads in recent opinion polls, such as EVN Report's late-March survey showing 33.6% among decided voters (41-50% modeled with undecided leanings) versus fragmented opposition topping out at 11-19% for Strong Armenia alliance. Proportional representation favors the incumbent's incumbency advantage and higher projected turnout, with most rivals below entry thresholds amid ongoing disarray. On April 30, the Central Election Commission flagged documentation irregularities for eight parties including Armenia Alliance and Strong Armenia, requiring fixes within 48 hours. Challenges could arise from opposition consolidation, undecided voter swings (37% in polls), or backlash to Azerbaijan peace talks, though no unified alternative has emerged.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCivil Contract 95%
Armenia Alliance 3.4%
Orinats Yerkir <1%
Prosperous Armenia <1%
$113,849 Vol.
$113,849 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
Civil Contract
95%
Armenia Alliance
3%
Orinats Yerkir
1%
Prosperous Armenia
<1%
Hanrapetutyun Party
<1%
Armenian National Congress
<1%
Bright Armenia
<1%
Heritage
<1%
I Have Honor Alliance
<1%
Civil Contract 95%
Armenia Alliance 3.4%
Orinats Yerkir <1%
Prosperous Armenia <1%
$113,849 Vol.
$113,849 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
Civil Contract
$45,330 Vol.
95%
Armenia Alliance
$50,991 Vol.
3%
Orinats Yerkir
$2,669 Vol.
1%
Prosperous Armenia
$2,375 Vol.
<1%
Hanrapetutyun Party
$2,196 Vol.
<1%
Armenian National Congress
$2,663 Vol.
<1%
Bright Armenia
$2,987 Vol.
<1%
Heritage
$2,576 Vol.
<1%
I Have Honor Alliance
$2,061 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's dominant 94.5% trader consensus in the June 7 National Assembly election stems from its consistent double-digit leads in recent opinion polls, such as EVN Report's late-March survey showing 33.6% among decided voters (41-50% modeled with undecided leanings) versus fragmented opposition topping out at 11-19% for Strong Armenia alliance. Proportional representation favors the incumbent's incumbency advantage and higher projected turnout, with most rivals below entry thresholds amid ongoing disarray. On April 30, the Central Election Commission flagged documentation irregularities for eight parties including Armenia Alliance and Strong Armenia, requiring fixes within 48 hours. Challenges could arise from opposition consolidation, undecided voter swings (37% in polls), or backlash to Azerbaijan peace talks, though no unified alternative has emerged.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Market Opened: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$113,849End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's dominant 94.5% trader consensus in the June 7 National Assembly election stems from its consistent double-digit leads in recent opinion polls, such as EVN Report's late-March survey showing 33.6% among decided voters (41-50% modeled with undecided leanings) versus fragmented opposition topping out at 11-19% for Strong Armenia alliance. Proportional representation favors the incumbent's incumbency advantage and higher projected turnout, with most rivals below entry thresholds amid ongoing disarray. On April 30, the Central Election Commission flagged documentation irregularities for eight parties including Armenia Alliance and Strong Armenia, requiring fixes within 48 hours. Challenges could arise from opposition consolidation, undecided voter swings (37% in polls), or backlash to Azerbaijan peace talks, though no unified alternative has emerged.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volume
$113,849End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract's dominant 94.5% trader consensus in the June 7 National Assembly election stems from its consistent double-digit leads in recent opinion polls, such as EVN Report's late-March survey showing 33.6% among decided voters (41-50% modeled with undecided leanings) versus fragmented opposition topping out at 11-19% for Strong Armenia alliance. Proportional representation favors the incumbent's incumbency advantage and higher projected turnout, with most rivals below entry thresholds amid ongoing disarray. On April 30, the Central Election Commission flagged documentation irregularities for eight parties including Armenia Alliance and Strong Armenia, requiring fixes within 48 hours. Challenges could arise from opposition consolidation, undecided voter swings (37% in polls), or backlash to Azerbaijan peace talks, though no unified alternative has emerged.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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