Alaska Young Republicans State Convention Part II highlights Wilson’s campaign focus on Alaska’s future challenges

Bernadette Wilson drops to 24%6%

Continued party engagement maintained interest but mixed signals from the crowded field and polling tempered

Alaska Young Republican State Convention results show Treg Taylor receiving 15 votes, trailing other candidates like Shelley Hughes and Adam Crum

Treg Taylor drops to 7%6%

Convention results highlighted Taylor’s middling support within the party base, contributing to a decline in market confidence.

Organized labor groups launch a six-figure independent expenditure campaign supporting Bishop and Schuerch

Click Bishop jumps to 7%5%

The backing from Alaska’s organized labor movement, including a new political group “Pick Click and Greta for Alaska,” provided Bishop with a financial and grassroots boost, reflected in a moderate

Market

Treg Taylor drops to 11%5%

Rising prominence of other candidates eroded Taylor’s standing in the market.

Latest polls show Bronson polling under 10% amid strong competition from other Republican candidates and Democrats

David Bronson dips to 3%1%

Continued weak polling and crowded field dynamics kept Bronson’s chances low, reflected in the market’s downward.

Click Bishop announces Iñupiaq leader Greta Schuerch as his running mate

Click Bishop surges to 23%21%

Bishop’s selection of Schuerch, an Alaska Native corporation board member with regional ties, generated a significant positive market reaction, boosting his chances in the race.

Bronson campaign proposes doubling Alaska Permanent Fund earnings target to 10%, drawing criticism for risky financial strategy

David Bronson dips to 4%3%

Bronson’s plan to aggressively increase Permanent Fund returns was criticized as reckless, likely undermining voter confidence and contributing to a market.

Market trough at 8% possibly reflecting growing doubts about Dahlstrom’s electability amid strong competition and multiple candidates in the race

Nancy Dahlstrom drops to 8%5%

Market trough at 8% possibly reflecting growing doubts about Dahlstrom’s electability amid strong competition and multiple candidates in the race

Bernadette Wilson participates in Alaska Governor Candidate Fireside Forum, engaging with veterans and voters

Bernadette Wilson surges to 32%18%

Her active participation in this high-profile forum improved voter engagement and campaign momentum, leading to a sharp

Tom Begich holds community meet and greet in Petersburg, emphasizing coalition-building and education funding

Tom Begich jumps to 30%5%

Begich’s outreach in Southeast Alaska and focus on education and fiscal accountability likely improved his campaign visibility and market perception.

Anchorage attorney joins as the 18th candidate in the governor’s race, increasing competition among Republicans including Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor jumps to 13%11%

The influx of candidates initially fragmented support but also created volatility, with Taylor’s

Dahlstrom certifies proper filing of another ballot initiative petition 25USCV, reinforcing her involvement in election-related issues during the campaign season

Nancy Dahlstrom dips to 13%4%

Dahlstrom certifies proper filing of another ballot initiative petition 25USCV, reinforcing her involvement in election-related issues during the campaign season

Alaska officials stonewall state legislators on voter data sharing, raising election security concerns

Bernadette Wilson dips to 24%3%

Heightened election security debates may have introduced uncertainty affecting Wilson’s support, contributing to a slight

Former Dunleavy recall leader enters governor’s race, intensifying competition

Bernadette Wilson drops to 20%13%

The entry of a prominent candidate increased race complexity and diluted Wilson’s perceived chances, causing a

Bernadette Wilson reports raising $306,000 in early campaign fundraising, second highest among GOP candidates

Bernadette Wilson jumps to 33%13%

Strong fundraising numbers signaled campaign viability and competitiveness, prompting a significant market

Reports show Bronson among 10 candidates raising six-figure campaign funds, but still trailing leading contenders in polls

David Bronson rises to 7%2%

Fundraising disclosures indicated Bronson’s campaign viability but did not translate into significant polling gains, reflecting persistent challenges in a crowded race.

Treg Taylor’s campaign reports raising $880,309, marking him as the second-highest fundraiser in the race

Despite strong fundraising, the market

Participation in Republican candidate forum in Juneau alongside other contenders, emphasizing his business experience and commitment to economic growth

Engagement in forums maintained his visibility but did not produce a notable

Market reacts to campaign developments and candidate field dynamics, including Begich’s ongoing efforts

Tom Begich drops to 23%8%

Market reacts to campaign developments and candidate field dynamics, including Begich’s ongoing efforts

The gubernatorial race expands with 16 candidates including Dahlstrom, increasing competition and diluting her chances in a crowded field

Nancy Dahlstrom dips to 17%1%

The gubernatorial race expands with 16 candidates including Dahlstrom, increasing competition and diluting her chances in a crowded field

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins enters governor’s race as third Democrat, increasing competition

Tom Begich rises to 27%4%

The entry of another Democratic candidate added competition within the party, affecting Begich’s relative standing and market.

Former state legislator Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins enters the governor’s race, increasing competition

The addition of more candidates, including Democrats and Republicans, intensified the crowded field, likely contributing to Bishop’s

Bronson selects Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as running mate, emphasizing election security and partnership in campaign

David Bronson rises to 6%3%

The announcement aimed to shore up Bronson’s campaign by adding a running mate with election oversight experience and regional balance, briefly boosting market confidence.

Mary Peltola announces U.S. Senate run, creating potential impact on Begich’s gubernatorial campaign

Tom Begich drops to 28%9%

Peltola’s Senate run introduced uncertainty for Begich, who had pledged to step aside if she ran for governor, causing market.

Bernadette Wilson participates in Alaska Young Republicans State Convention candidate panel

Bernadette Wilson jumps to 30%7%

Her presence and messaging at this key party event increased visibility and enthusiasm among Republican base voters, contributing to a

Dahlstrom certifies proper filing of Ballot Initiative 24ESEG to repeal Alaska’s top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system, a controversial election reform that could

Nancy Dahlstrom drops to 17%7%

Dahlstrom certifies proper filing of Ballot Initiative 24ESEG to repeal Alaska’s top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system, a controversial election reform that could impact the gubernatorial race dynamics

Lt. Governor Dahlstrom submits Alaska voter registration list to U.S.

Nancy Dahlstrom dips to 21%3%

Department of Justice, a procedural step in election administration that may affect election integrity perceptions

Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, vowing to oppose all tax increases

Bernadette Wilson rises to 18%2%

Signing this pledge aligned Wilson with conservative fiscal values, likely boosting support among anti-tax voters and causing a modest

Tom Begich responds critically to Governor Dunleavy’s early FY27 budget release

Tom Begich jumps to 37%13%

Begich publicly criticized Dunleavy’s budget for lacking a sustainable fiscal plan, positioning himself as a fiscal responsible alternative, which may have increased market confidence in his candidacy.

Tom Begich visits Bethel on campaign trail, emphasizing rural and climate issues

Tom Begich jumps to 24%6%

Begich's visit to the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta and focus on rural community engagement and climate adaptation highlighted his campaign's grassroots approach, likely boosting support and market.

Treg Taylor formally announces candidacy for Alaska governor, leveraging his tenure as Attorney General to position himself as a proven crime fighter and defender of Alaska’s independence

Treg Taylor plunges to 4%46%

Taylor’s official entry into the race was widely covered, initially boosting market interest, but the crowded field quickly diluted his perceived chances.

Lt. Governor Nancy Dahlstrom certifies Ballot Initiative 25USCV, a voting citizenship requirement measure, demonstrating her active role in election-related processes and possibly

Lt. Governor Nancy Dahlstrom certifies Ballot Initiative 25USCV, a voting citizenship requirement measure, demonstrating her active role in election-related processes and possibly influencing voter perceptions

Dave Bronson announces candidacy for Alaska governor at Fairbanks press event, entering a crowded Republican primary field of 13 candidates

David Bronson plunges to 2%48%

Bronson’s official entry into the race marked the start of market pricing; initial optimism gave way quickly as the large field diluted support and Bronson struggled to distinguish himself early on.

Nancy Dahlstrom withdraws from the 2024 Alaska U.S.

House race after placing third in the primary, consolidating Republican support behind Nick Begich and refocusing on gubernatorial ambitions

Former state Sen. Tom Begich becomes first Democrat to indicate run for Alaska governor in 2026

Tom Begich drops to 37%13%

Begich filed a letter of intent to run for governor, signaling his entry into the race and starting campaign activities. This announcement introduced him as a key Democratic candidate, initially supporting market confidence before subsequent volatility.

Bernadette Wilson formally announces candidacy for Alaska governor, emphasizing her business background and outsider status

This official campaign launch introduced Wilson as a serious contender, initially supporting a 50% market

Nancy Dahlstrom files letter of intent to run for Alaska governor, officially entering the 2026 gubernatorial race and signaling her candidacy to the market

Nancy Dahlstrom files letter of intent to run for Alaska governor, officially entering the 2026 gubernatorial race and signaling her candidacy to the market

Click Bishop files letter of intent to run for Alaska governor, officially entering the 2026 race

Bishop’s formal entry into the race marked the start of his campaign, initially maintaining market interest at a high level.