Skip to main content
icon for Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner

icon for Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner

Barry Moore 81%

Jared Hudson 16.0%

Steve Marshall 4.5%

Morgan Murphy <1%

Polymarket

$67,390 Vol.

Barry Moore 81%

Jared Hudson 16.0%

Steve Marshall 4.5%

Morgan Murphy <1%

Polymarket

$67,390 Vol.

Barry Moore

$18,188 Vol.

81%

Jared Hudson

$5,898 Vol.

16%

Steve Marshall

$14,347 Vol.

5%

Morgan Murphy

$25,260 Vol.

<1%

Rodney Walker

$3,696 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Rep. Barry Moore at 81% implied probability to win Alabama's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by his Trump endorsement, leading position in recent polling averages (31% per Decision Desk HQ's April 29 memo), and substantial outside spending from Club for Growth affiliates and crypto groups boosting his path to an outright majority and avoiding a June 16 runoff. Political newcomer and former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson holds 16% support amid strong grassroots fundraising and momentum from low-single digits in March polls, while Attorney General Steve Marshall trails at 5% following a tight three-way race in late April surveys from Marshall-aligned PACs and others showing all top contenders within single digits. With the primary approaching, turnout among likely Republican voters and final ad blitzes could tip the balance in this open-seat contest to succeed Sen. Tommy Tuberville.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.

If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$67,390
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Rep. Barry Moore at 81% implied probability to win Alabama's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by his Trump endorsement, leading position in recent polling averages (31% per Decision Desk HQ's April 29 memo), and substantial outside spending from Club for Growth affiliates and crypto groups boosting his path to an outright majority and avoiding a June 16 runoff. Political newcomer and former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson holds 16% support amid strong grassroots fundraising and momentum from low-single digits in March polls, while Attorney General Steve Marshall trails at 5% following a tight three-way race in late April surveys from Marshall-aligned PACs and others showing all top contenders within single digits. With the primary approaching, turnout among likely Republican voters and final ad blitzes could tip the balance in this open-seat contest to succeed Sen. Tommy Tuberville.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.

If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$67,390
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Barry Moore" at 81%, followed by "Jared Hudson" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $67.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Barry Moore" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jared Hudson" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.