Trump-endorsed Rep. Barry Moore leads trader consensus at 81% implied probability to win Alabama's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, fueled by recent polls showing him at 31% in Decision Desk HQ's late-April average—well ahead of former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson (16%) and Attorney General Steve Marshall (19% in polls, 5% on market)—with momentum from Club for Growth super PAC ad spending aiding a potential outright majority to avoid a June 16 runoff. Hudson's grassroots surge and strong fundraising keep him viable as an outsider challenger, while Marshall has slipped amid the three-way contest for Sen. Tommy Tuberville's open seat. No candidate polls near 50%, but traders bet on Moore's consolidation among undecided GOP voters in this deep-red state.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBarry Moore 81%
Jared Hudson 15.8%
Steve Marshall 5.1%
Morgan Murphy <1%
$67,374 Vol.
$67,374 Vol.
Barry Moore
81%
Jared Hudson
16%
Steve Marshall
5%
Morgan Murphy
<1%
Rodney Walker
<1%
Barry Moore 81%
Jared Hudson 15.8%
Steve Marshall 5.1%
Morgan Murphy <1%
$67,374 Vol.
$67,374 Vol.
Barry Moore
81%
Jared Hudson
16%
Steve Marshall
5%
Morgan Murphy
<1%
Rodney Walker
<1%
If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trump-endorsed Rep. Barry Moore leads trader consensus at 81% implied probability to win Alabama's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, fueled by recent polls showing him at 31% in Decision Desk HQ's late-April average—well ahead of former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson (16%) and Attorney General Steve Marshall (19% in polls, 5% on market)—with momentum from Club for Growth super PAC ad spending aiding a potential outright majority to avoid a June 16 runoff. Hudson's grassroots surge and strong fundraising keep him viable as an outsider challenger, while Marshall has slipped amid the three-way contest for Sen. Tommy Tuberville's open seat. No candidate polls near 50%, but traders bet on Moore's consolidation among undecided GOP voters in this deep-red state.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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