Trader consensus favors Democratic Party of Korea's Chun Jae-soo at 64.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Busan mayoral election, reflecting recent polls like MBC-Korea Research (48%-34%) and KBS-Hankook Research (42%-32%) where he leads incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon outside the margin of error. Primaries concluded mid-April, confirming both candidates and sparking intensified campaigning, including Park's preliminary registration on April 27 amid conservative consolidation signals from a nearby by-election involving former PPP leader Han Dong-hoon. Despite some tightening in late-April surveys showing undecided voters and shy conservative turnout potential, Chun maintains a consistent edge in battleground Busan, a traditional PPP stronghold, with 34 days until polls close. Minor candidates trail far behind due to lack of viable paths to victory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner
2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner
Chun Jae-soo 65%
Park Heong-joon 35%
Suh Byung-soo <1%
Cho Kyoung-tae <1%
$583,391 Vol.
$583,391 Vol.

Chun Jae-soo
65%

Park Heong-joon
35%

Suh Byung-soo
<1%

Cho Kyoung-tae
<1%

Choi In-ho
<1%

Hong Soon-heon
<1%

Kim Do-eup
<1%

Cho Kuk
<1%

Park Seong-hoon
<1%

Park Jae-ho
<1%

Lee Jae-sung
<1%

Kim Young-choon
<1%
Chun Jae-soo 65%
Park Heong-joon 35%
Suh Byung-soo <1%
Cho Kyoung-tae <1%
$583,391 Vol.
$583,391 Vol.

Chun Jae-soo
65%

Park Heong-joon
35%

Suh Byung-soo
<1%

Cho Kyoung-tae
<1%

Choi In-ho
<1%

Hong Soon-heon
<1%

Kim Do-eup
<1%

Cho Kuk
<1%

Park Seong-hoon
<1%

Park Jae-ho
<1%

Lee Jae-sung
<1%

Kim Young-choon
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Market Opened: Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democratic Party of Korea's Chun Jae-soo at 64.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Busan mayoral election, reflecting recent polls like MBC-Korea Research (48%-34%) and KBS-Hankook Research (42%-32%) where he leads incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon outside the margin of error. Primaries concluded mid-April, confirming both candidates and sparking intensified campaigning, including Park's preliminary registration on April 27 amid conservative consolidation signals from a nearby by-election involving former PPP leader Han Dong-hoon. Despite some tightening in late-April surveys showing undecided voters and shy conservative turnout potential, Chun maintains a consistent edge in battleground Busan, a traditional PPP stronghold, with 34 days until polls close. Minor candidates trail far behind due to lack of viable paths to victory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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