White House announcements in late March rescheduled President Trump's summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping for May 14-15 in Beijing, originally planned earlier but delayed amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran war, positioning those dates as trader favorites with May 13 at 45.5% implied probability—possibly reflecting anticipated arrival or preparatory events—and May 14 at 32%. Recent April diplomatic signals, including a Trump ally's preparatory visit to China and discussions on Iran stabilization plus trade, have solidified expectations, boosting overall odds of a May trip to over 80% while the 18% "No visit by May 31" accounts for risks like escalation in the Middle East or scheduling shifts. Traders await final confirmations ahead of the mid-month window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWill Trump visit China on...?
Will Trump visit China on...?
May 13 48%
May 14 33%
No visit by May 31 18%
May 21 1.4%
$137,356 Vol.
$137,356 Vol.
On or prior to May 1
<1%
May 2
<1%
May 3
<1%
May 4
<1%
May 5
<1%
May 6
<1%
May 7
<1%
May 8
<1%
May 9
<1%
May 10
<1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
<1%
May 13
48%
May 14
33%
May 15
1%
May 16
1%
May 17
<1%
May 18
<1%
May 19
1%
May 20
<1%
May 21
1%
May 22
<1%
May 23
<1%
May 24
1%
May 25
1%
May 26
1%
May 27
<1%
May 28
1%
May 29
1%
May 30
<1%
May 31
1%
No visit by May 31
18%
May 13 48%
May 14 33%
No visit by May 31 18%
May 21 1.4%
$137,356 Vol.
$137,356 Vol.
On or prior to May 1
<1%
May 2
<1%
May 3
<1%
May 4
<1%
May 5
<1%
May 6
<1%
May 7
<1%
May 8
<1%
May 9
<1%
May 10
<1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
<1%
May 13
48%
May 14
33%
May 15
1%
May 16
1%
May 17
<1%
May 18
<1%
May 19
1%
May 20
<1%
May 21
1%
May 22
<1%
May 23
<1%
May 24
1%
May 25
1%
May 26
1%
May 27
<1%
May 28
1%
May 29
1%
May 30
<1%
May 31
1%
No visit by May 31
18%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...White House announcements in late March rescheduled President Trump's summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping for May 14-15 in Beijing, originally planned earlier but delayed amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran war, positioning those dates as trader favorites with May 13 at 45.5% implied probability—possibly reflecting anticipated arrival or preparatory events—and May 14 at 32%. Recent April diplomatic signals, including a Trump ally's preparatory visit to China and discussions on Iran stabilization plus trade, have solidified expectations, boosting overall odds of a May trip to over 80% while the 18% "No visit by May 31" accounts for risks like escalation in the Middle East or scheduling shifts. Traders await final confirmations ahead of the mid-month window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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