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Elecciones·Parciales

Ganador de la primaria demócrata CT-01

icon for Ganador de la primaria demócrata CT-01
Elecciones·Parciales

Ganador de la primaria demócrata CT-01

Luke Bronin 47%

John Larson 36%

Jillian Gilchrest 4.9%

Mark Stewart Greenstein 2.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Luke Bronin 47%

John Larson 36%

Jillian Gilchrest 4.9%

Mark Stewart Greenstein 2.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Luke Bronin

$3,092 Vol.

47%

John Larson

$651 Vol.

38%

Jillian Gilchrest

$1,769 Vol.

5%

Mark Stewart Greenstein

$1,473 Vol.

2%

Ruth Fortune

$800 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus slightly favors former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin at 47% over long-serving incumbent Rep. John Larson at 37.5% in the competitive CT-01 Democratic primary, driven by Bronin's superior Q1 2026 fundraising—$511,000 raised and $1.8 million cash on hand versus Larson's $452,000 and $1.1 million—enabling early TV ads emphasizing generational change against Larson's 25-year tenure. Recent developments include Bronin's April 24 endorsements from Hartford Mayor Arunan Arulampalam, city council members, and state representatives, plus clashes over Larson's franking privilege ads and labor records. Larson's March internal poll showed a lead, but no public surveys have emerged; further endorsements, independent polling, or ad spending could widen the gap ahead of the August 11 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$7,786
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus slightly favors former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin at 47% over long-serving incumbent Rep. John Larson at 37.5% in the competitive CT-01 Democratic primary, driven by Bronin's superior Q1 2026 fundraising—$511,000 raised and $1.8 million cash on hand versus Larson's $452,000 and $1.1 million—enabling early TV ads emphasizing generational change against Larson's 25-year tenure. Recent developments include Bronin's April 24 endorsements from Hartford Mayor Arunan Arulampalam, city council members, and state representatives, plus clashes over Larson's franking privilege ads and labor records. Larson's March internal poll showed a lead, but no public surveys have emerged; further endorsements, independent polling, or ad spending could widen the gap ahead of the August 11 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$7,786
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la primaria demócrata CT-01" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Luke Bronin" con 47%, seguido de "John Larson" con 38%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 47¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de la primaria demócrata CT-01" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Feb 26, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de la primaria demócrata CT-01", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la primaria demócrata CT-01" es "Luke Bronin" con 47%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "John Larson" con 38%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la primaria demócrata CT-01" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.