Skip to main content
icon for ¿Netanyahu será indultado antes del 30 de junio?
Política·Bibi

¿Netanyahu será indultado antes del 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Netanyahu será indultado antes del 30 de junio?
Política·Bibi

¿Netanyahu será indultado antes del 30 de junio?

Sí

5% probabilidad
Polymarket

$364,367 Vol.

Sí

5% probabilidad
Polymarket

$364,367 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's President Isaac Herzog has signaled he will only weigh a pardon for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's corruption cases after plea-deal mediation efforts are exhausted, a position he reiterated in late April 2026. The Justice Ministry's Pardons Department issued a March 2026 opinion stating that granting clemency now would be improper absent resignation, an admission of guilt, or a conviction. Netanyahu submitted his formal request in November 2025, but Herzog has invited talks between legal teams without advancing the petition itself. Trial testimony continues, and the compressed window before June 30 leaves no procedural path for the required reviews or negotiations to conclude. These confirmed institutional steps and Herzog's consistent deferral underpin trader consensus that a pardon will not occur by the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$364,367
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's President Isaac Herzog has signaled he will only weigh a pardon for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's corruption cases after plea-deal mediation efforts are exhausted, a position he reiterated in late April 2026. The Justice Ministry's Pardons Department issued a March 2026 opinion stating that granting clemency now would be improper absent resignation, an admission of guilt, or a conviction. Netanyahu submitted his formal request in November 2025, but Herzog has invited talks between legal teams without advancing the petition itself. Trial testimony continues, and the compressed window before June 30 leaves no procedural path for the required reviews or negotiations to conclude. These confirmed institutional steps and Herzog's consistent deferral underpin trader consensus that a pardon will not occur by the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$364,367
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Netanyahu será indultado antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Será indultado Netanyahu antes del 30 de junio?" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 5¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 5% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Netanyahu será indultado antes del 30 de junio?" ha generado $364.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 9, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Netanyahu será indultado antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Netanyahu será indultado antes del 30 de junio?" es "¿Será indultado Netanyahu antes del 30 de junio?" con solo 5%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Netanyahu será indultado antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.