Trader consensus prices "No" at 90% due to Elon Musk's constitutional ineligibility for the presidency under Article II, requiring natural-born citizenship—Musk, born in South Africa, has repeatedly affirmed this barrier in public statements, including recent recirculated clips where he explicitly states he cannot run and prefers focusing on SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI innovations over political office. No developments in the past 30 days, such as official announcements or campaign signals, have altered this assessment; instead, Musk remains engaged in his advisory role co-heading the Department of Government Efficiency under President Trump, ongoing OpenAI litigation, and business priorities. While fans speculate on X about 2028 ambitions, absent a constitutional amendment—an extraordinarily rare event—traders see negligible path to an announcement before 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$15,454 Vol.
$15,454 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$15,454 Vol.
$15,454 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Elon Musk will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Elon Musk (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 90% due to Elon Musk's constitutional ineligibility for the presidency under Article II, requiring natural-born citizenship—Musk, born in South Africa, has repeatedly affirmed this barrier in public statements, including recent recirculated clips where he explicitly states he cannot run and prefers focusing on SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI innovations over political office. No developments in the past 30 days, such as official announcements or campaign signals, have altered this assessment; instead, Musk remains engaged in his advisory role co-heading the Department of Government Efficiency under President Trump, ongoing OpenAI litigation, and business priorities. While fans speculate on X about 2028 ambitions, absent a constitutional amendment—an extraordinarily rare event—traders see negligible path to an announcement before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Elon Musk will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Elon Musk (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Elon Musk will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Elon Musk (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
Volumen
$15,454Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Elon Musk will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Elon Musk (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 90% due to Elon Musk's constitutional ineligibility for the presidency under Article II, requiring natural-born citizenship—Musk, born in South Africa, has repeatedly affirmed this barrier in public statements, including recent recirculated clips where he explicitly states he cannot run and prefers focusing on SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI innovations over political office. No developments in the past 30 days, such as official announcements or campaign signals, have altered this assessment; instead, Musk remains engaged in his advisory role co-heading the Department of Government Efficiency under President Trump, ongoing OpenAI litigation, and business priorities. While fans speculate on X about 2028 ambitions, absent a constitutional amendment—an extraordinarily rare event—traders see negligible path to an announcement before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Elon Musk will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Elon Musk (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Elon Musk will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Elon Musk (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$15,454Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 90% due to Elon Musk's constitutional ineligibility for the presidency under Article II, requiring natural-born citizenship—Musk, born in South Africa, has repeatedly affirmed this barrier in public statements, including recent recirculated clips where he explicitly states he cannot run and prefers focusing on SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI innovations over political office. No developments in the past 30 days, such as official announcements or campaign signals, have altered this assessment; instead, Musk remains engaged in his advisory role co-heading the Department of Government Efficiency under President Trump, ongoing OpenAI litigation, and business priorities. While fans speculate on X about 2028 ambitions, absent a constitutional amendment—an extraordinarily rare event—traders see negligible path to an announcement before 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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