Trader consensus favors Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard at 45.5% to be the next Trump Cabinet departure following reports that the White House urged her resignation before the 2026 midterms, stemming from her exclusion from key Iran Situation Room meetings on Operation Epic Fury and congressional testimony clashing with administration narratives on regime capabilities. Energy Secretary Chris Wright ranks second at 27.8% amid public disagreements with President Trump over gasoline price timelines amid escalating oil disruptions. Recent high-profile exits—Attorney General Pam Bondi, Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, and Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer—over the past two months signal an ongoing Cabinet purge, though "None before 2027" holds at 26.5% as no further official announcements have materialized, with midterms looming as a potential catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTulsi Gabbard 46%
Chris Wright 27.1%
None before 2027 25%
Howard Lutnick 18.9%
$10,094 Vol.
$10,094 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Tulsi Gabbard
48%
Chris Wright
27%
None before 2027
25%
Howard Lutnick
19%
Susie Wiles
18%
Scott Bessent
12%
Kelly Loeffler
12%
Pete Hegseth
7%
J.D. Vance
6%
Scott Turner
5%
Sean Duffy
4%
Doug Collins
4%
Lee Zeldin
4%
Brooke Rollins
3%
Mike Waltz
3%
Russell T. Vought
3%
John Ratcliffe
3%
Doug Burgum
2%
Marco Rubio
1%
Linda McMahon
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%
Jamieson Greer
<1%
Tulsi Gabbard 46%
Chris Wright 27.1%
None before 2027 25%
Howard Lutnick 18.9%
$10,094 Vol.
$10,094 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Tulsi Gabbard
$3,130 Vol.
48%
Chris Wright
$290 Vol.
27%
None before 2027
$220 Vol.
25%
Howard Lutnick
$1,211 Vol.
19%
Susie Wiles
$263 Vol.
18%
Scott Bessent
$233 Vol.
12%
Kelly Loeffler
$284 Vol.
12%
Pete Hegseth
$628 Vol.
7%
J.D. Vance
$415 Vol.
6%
Scott Turner
$332 Vol.
5%
Sean Duffy
$219 Vol.
4%
Doug Collins
$318 Vol.
4%
Lee Zeldin
$294 Vol.
4%
Brooke Rollins
$218 Vol.
3%
Mike Waltz
$270 Vol.
3%
Russell T. Vought
$238 Vol.
3%
John Ratcliffe
$257 Vol.
3%
Doug Burgum
$281 Vol.
2%
Marco Rubio
$239 Vol.
1%
Linda McMahon
$271 Vol.
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$276 Vol.
1%
Jamieson Greer
$207 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trader consensus favors Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard at 45.5% to be the next Trump Cabinet departure following reports that the White House urged her resignation before the 2026 midterms, stemming from her exclusion from key Iran Situation Room meetings on Operation Epic Fury and congressional testimony clashing with administration narratives on regime capabilities. Energy Secretary Chris Wright ranks second at 27.8% amid public disagreements with President Trump over gasoline price timelines amid escalating oil disruptions. Recent high-profile exits—Attorney General Pam Bondi, Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, and Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer—over the past two months signal an ongoing Cabinet purge, though "None before 2027" holds at 26.5% as no further official announcements have materialized, with midterms looming as a potential catalyst.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 20, 2026, 8:13 PM ET
Volumen
$10,094Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 20, 2026, 8:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trader consensus favors Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard at 45.5% to be the next Trump Cabinet departure following reports that the White House urged her resignation before the 2026 midterms, stemming from her exclusion from key Iran Situation Room meetings on Operation Epic Fury and congressional testimony clashing with administration narratives on regime capabilities. Energy Secretary Chris Wright ranks second at 27.8% amid public disagreements with President Trump over gasoline price timelines amid escalating oil disruptions. Recent high-profile exits—Attorney General Pam Bondi, Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, and Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer—over the past two months signal an ongoing Cabinet purge, though "None before 2027" holds at 26.5% as no further official announcements have materialized, with midterms looming as a potential catalyst.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volumen
$10,094Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 20, 2026, 8:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard at 45.5% to be the next Trump Cabinet departure following reports that the White House urged her resignation before the 2026 midterms, stemming from her exclusion from key Iran Situation Room meetings on Operation Epic Fury and congressional testimony clashing with administration narratives on regime capabilities. Energy Secretary Chris Wright ranks second at 27.8% amid public disagreements with President Trump over gasoline price timelines amid escalating oil disruptions. Recent high-profile exits—Attorney General Pam Bondi, Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, and Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer—over the past two months signal an ongoing Cabinet purge, though "None before 2027" holds at 26.5% as no further official announcements have materialized, with midterms looming as a potential catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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