The United States and Israel launched large-scale airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026—Operation Epic Fury—targeting nuclear facilities, ballistic missile sites, IRGC positions, air defenses, and leadership, including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, with over 13,000 strikes degrading Iranian capabilities by late April. A two-week ceasefire brokered by Pakistan began April 8 amid ongoing tit-for-tat exchanges and a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, but tensions persisted with US restrikes on Kharg Island April 7 and reports of new strike preparations on April 30. No other countries, including Gulf allies, conducted verified direct military actions on Iranian soil, shaping trader consensus around US-Israeli dominance in the air campaign while highlighting escalation risks from stalled talks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué países llevarán a cabo una acción militar contra Irán antes del 30 de abril?
¿Qué países llevarán a cabo una acción militar contra Irán antes del 30 de abril?
$3,621,466 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Arabia Saudita
<1%
EAU
<1%
Bahréin
<1%
Alemania
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Kuwait
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Cualquier país de la U.E.
<1%
Omán
<1%
Reino Unido
<1%
Canadá
<1%
Francia
<1%
Turquía
<1%
$3,621,466 Vol.
Arabia Saudita
$601,402 Vol.
<1%
EAU
$1,823,740 Vol.
<1%
Bahréin
$57,343 Vol.
<1%
Alemania
$133,128 Vol.
<1%
Qatar
$56,138 Vol.
<1%
Kuwait
$168,490 Vol.
<1%
Jordania
$34,602 Vol.
<1%
Cualquier país de la U.E.
$87,103 Vol.
<1%
Omán
$33,064 Vol.
<1%
Reino Unido
$280,464 Vol.
<1%
Canadá
$46,477 Vol.
<1%
Francia
$211,061 Vol.
<1%
Turquía
$88,455 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The United States and Israel launched large-scale airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026—Operation Epic Fury—targeting nuclear facilities, ballistic missile sites, IRGC positions, air defenses, and leadership, including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, with over 13,000 strikes degrading Iranian capabilities by late April. A two-week ceasefire brokered by Pakistan began April 8 amid ongoing tit-for-tat exchanges and a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, but tensions persisted with US restrikes on Kharg Island April 7 and reports of new strike preparations on April 30. No other countries, including Gulf allies, conducted verified direct military actions on Iranian soil, shaping trader consensus around US-Israeli dominance in the air campaign while highlighting escalation risks from stalled talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Volumen
$3,621,466Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The United States and Israel launched large-scale airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026—Operation Epic Fury—targeting nuclear facilities, ballistic missile sites, IRGC positions, air defenses, and leadership, including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, with over 13,000 strikes degrading Iranian capabilities by late April. A two-week ceasefire brokered by Pakistan began April 8 amid ongoing tit-for-tat exchanges and a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, but tensions persisted with US restrikes on Kharg Island April 7 and reports of new strike preparations on April 30. No other countries, including Gulf allies, conducted verified direct military actions on Iranian soil, shaping trader consensus around US-Israeli dominance in the air campaign while highlighting escalation risks from stalled talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$3,621,466Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United States and Israel launched large-scale airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026—Operation Epic Fury—targeting nuclear facilities, ballistic missile sites, IRGC positions, air defenses, and leadership, including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, with over 13,000 strikes degrading Iranian capabilities by late April. A two-week ceasefire brokered by Pakistan began April 8 amid ongoing tit-for-tat exchanges and a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, but tensions persisted with US restrikes on Kharg Island April 7 and reports of new strike preparations on April 30. No other countries, including Gulf allies, conducted verified direct military actions on Iranian soil, shaping trader consensus around US-Israeli dominance in the air campaign while highlighting escalation risks from stalled talks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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