Trader sentiment on Houthi targeting of Red Sea shipping hinges on a fragile lull in successful kinetic strikes over the past 30 days, punctuated by failed boarding attempts—including one on April 12 near Bab al-Mandeb and another on the Greek-owned Eternity C bulk carrier on April 29—amid coalition naval patrols. War risk insurance premiums remain elevated at $800–$1,500 per 40-foot container from Asia to U.S. East Coast, sustaining rerouting costs that have propped up the Baltic Dry Index to 2,670 by April 29 despite partial route normalization. Volatility persists from Iran-backed threats and potential U.S. escalations, with upcoming May freight contract negotiations and FOMC rate decisions poised to amplify supply chain inflation pressures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Los hutíes apuntan con éxito al envío antes del...?
¿Los hutíes apuntan con éxito al envío antes del...?
$196,945 Vol.
30 abr 2026
30 de abril
1%
$196,945 Vol.
30 de abril
$70,082 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on Houthi targeting of Red Sea shipping hinges on a fragile lull in successful kinetic strikes over the past 30 days, punctuated by failed boarding attempts—including one on April 12 near Bab al-Mandeb and another on the Greek-owned Eternity C bulk carrier on April 29—amid coalition naval patrols. War risk insurance premiums remain elevated at $800–$1,500 per 40-foot container from Asia to U.S. East Coast, sustaining rerouting costs that have propped up the Baltic Dry Index to 2,670 by April 29 despite partial route normalization. Volatility persists from Iran-backed threats and potential U.S. escalations, with upcoming May freight contract negotiations and FOMC rate decisions poised to amplify supply chain inflation pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 8:37 PM ET
Volumen
$196,945Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 8:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on Houthi targeting of Red Sea shipping hinges on a fragile lull in successful kinetic strikes over the past 30 days, punctuated by failed boarding attempts—including one on April 12 near Bab al-Mandeb and another on the Greek-owned Eternity C bulk carrier on April 29—amid coalition naval patrols. War risk insurance premiums remain elevated at $800–$1,500 per 40-foot container from Asia to U.S. East Coast, sustaining rerouting costs that have propped up the Baltic Dry Index to 2,670 by April 29 despite partial route normalization. Volatility persists from Iran-backed threats and potential U.S. escalations, with upcoming May freight contract negotiations and FOMC rate decisions poised to amplify supply chain inflation pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$196,945Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 8:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Houthi targeting of Red Sea shipping hinges on a fragile lull in successful kinetic strikes over the past 30 days, punctuated by failed boarding attempts—including one on April 12 near Bab al-Mandeb and another on the Greek-owned Eternity C bulk carrier on April 29—amid coalition naval patrols. War risk insurance premiums remain elevated at $800–$1,500 per 40-foot container from Asia to U.S. East Coast, sustaining rerouting costs that have propped up the Baltic Dry Index to 2,670 by April 29 despite partial route normalization. Volatility persists from Iran-backed threats and potential U.S. escalations, with upcoming May freight contract negotiations and FOMC rate decisions poised to amplify supply chain inflation pressures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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