Despite an ordered departure for non-emergency U.S. government personnel and family members from the U.S. Embassy in Beirut since February 23, 2026, amid escalating regional tensions including airstrikes and drone activity, traders show 99.1% confidence against a full embassy evacuation by April 30. Recent State Department security alerts, including April 22's Level 4 "Do Not Travel" advisory, reiterate urges for U.S. citizens to depart Lebanon via commercial flights while maintaining core embassy operations with restricted consular services. No announcements or actions indicate full pullout, reflecting diplomatic continuity. Realistic shifts would require sudden escalation like a direct threat or attack prompting immediate State Department action before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
$23,327 Vol.
$23,327 Vol.
30 abr 2026
$23,327 Vol.
$23,327 Vol.
30 abr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Despite an ordered departure for non-emergency U.S. government personnel and family members from the U.S. Embassy in Beirut since February 23, 2026, amid escalating regional tensions including airstrikes and drone activity, traders show 99.1% confidence against a full embassy evacuation by April 30. Recent State Department security alerts, including April 22's Level 4 "Do Not Travel" advisory, reiterate urges for U.S. citizens to depart Lebanon via commercial flights while maintaining core embassy operations with restricted consular services. No announcements or actions indicate full pullout, reflecting diplomatic continuity. Realistic shifts would require sudden escalation like a direct threat or attack prompting immediate State Department action before market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Volumen
$23,327Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Despite an ordered departure for non-emergency U.S. government personnel and family members from the U.S. Embassy in Beirut since February 23, 2026, amid escalating regional tensions including airstrikes and drone activity, traders show 99.1% confidence against a full embassy evacuation by April 30. Recent State Department security alerts, including April 22's Level 4 "Do Not Travel" advisory, reiterate urges for U.S. citizens to depart Lebanon via commercial flights while maintaining core embassy operations with restricted consular services. No announcements or actions indicate full pullout, reflecting diplomatic continuity. Realistic shifts would require sudden escalation like a direct threat or attack prompting immediate State Department action before market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volumen
$23,327Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite an ordered departure for non-emergency U.S. government personnel and family members from the U.S. Embassy in Beirut since February 23, 2026, amid escalating regional tensions including airstrikes and drone activity, traders show 99.1% confidence against a full embassy evacuation by April 30. Recent State Department security alerts, including April 22's Level 4 "Do Not Travel" advisory, reiterate urges for U.S. citizens to depart Lebanon via commercial flights while maintaining core embassy operations with restricted consular services. No announcements or actions indicate full pullout, reflecting diplomatic continuity. Realistic shifts would require sudden escalation like a direct threat or attack prompting immediate State Department action before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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