Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7, released on April 16, has driven trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability of possessing the top coding AI model as of April's end, dominating benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (75.6%) and LiveCodeBench ahead of rivals such as OpenAI's GPT-5.2 Codex (72.8%) and Moonshot's Kimi K2.5. This edge stems from superior agentic coding capabilities—autonomous bug fixes, multi-step reasoning, and vulnerability detection—validated by third-party evals and developer testimonials, including Anthropic's Claude Code lead shipping 49 AI-generated features in days. With no competing releases in the final two weeks, markets reflect skin-in-the-game certainty, though a surprise benchmark revision or undisclosed OpenAI/xAI preview could theoretically challenge it before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic 100.0%
xAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
Baidu <1%
$272,142 Vol.
$272,142 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Anthropic
100%
xAI
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Anthropic 100.0%
xAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
Baidu <1%
$272,142 Vol.
$272,142 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Anthropic
$50,062 Vol.
100%
xAI
$10,586 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$10,834 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$10,999 Vol.
<1%
OpenAI
$52,663 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$15,388 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$26,482 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$30,113 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$9,907 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$9,170 Vol.
<1%
$12,506 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$10,425 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$23,007 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7, released on April 16, has driven trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability of possessing the top coding AI model as of April's end, dominating benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (75.6%) and LiveCodeBench ahead of rivals such as OpenAI's GPT-5.2 Codex (72.8%) and Moonshot's Kimi K2.5. This edge stems from superior agentic coding capabilities—autonomous bug fixes, multi-step reasoning, and vulnerability detection—validated by third-party evals and developer testimonials, including Anthropic's Claude Code lead shipping 49 AI-generated features in days. With no competing releases in the final two weeks, markets reflect skin-in-the-game certainty, though a surprise benchmark revision or undisclosed OpenAI/xAI preview could theoretically challenge it before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Volumen
$272,142Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7, released on April 16, has driven trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability of possessing the top coding AI model as of April's end, dominating benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (75.6%) and LiveCodeBench ahead of rivals such as OpenAI's GPT-5.2 Codex (72.8%) and Moonshot's Kimi K2.5. This edge stems from superior agentic coding capabilities—autonomous bug fixes, multi-step reasoning, and vulnerability detection—validated by third-party evals and developer testimonials, including Anthropic's Claude Code lead shipping 49 AI-generated features in days. With no competing releases in the final two weeks, markets reflect skin-in-the-game certainty, though a surprise benchmark revision or undisclosed OpenAI/xAI preview could theoretically challenge it before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$272,142Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7, released on April 16, has driven trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability of possessing the top coding AI model as of April's end, dominating benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (75.6%) and LiveCodeBench ahead of rivals such as OpenAI's GPT-5.2 Codex (72.8%) and Moonshot's Kimi K2.5. This edge stems from superior agentic coding capabilities—autonomous bug fixes, multi-step reasoning, and vulnerability detection—validated by third-party evals and developer testimonials, including Anthropic's Claude Code lead shipping 49 AI-generated features in days. With no competing releases in the final two weeks, markets reflect skin-in-the-game certainty, though a surprise benchmark revision or undisclosed OpenAI/xAI preview could theoretically challenge it before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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