Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sustained upward pressure on NVIDIA H200 GPU hourly rental rates, driven by explosive AI training and inference demand outstripping supply despite Blackwell B200 ramp-up. As of late April 2026, spot pricing on Vast.ai hovers at $2.26 per GPU-hour (25th percentile), Runpod on-demand at $3.99, and hyperscalers like AWS around $5, up roughly 40% for Hopper-generation chips since early March per Ornn Compute Price Index trends. Shortages persist, with even prior-gen H100s renewing at peak rates, signaling robust skin-in-the-game positioning. Key catalysts ahead include NVIDIA's late-May fiscal Q1 earnings on supply outlook and major model launches, potentially sustaining elevated pricing through the May 31 resolution benchmark.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
31 may 2026
↑ $5.50
29%
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39%
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49%
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50%
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$4,622 Vol.
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$93 Vol.
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$60 Vol.
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$125 Vol.
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$0 Vol.
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$41 Vol.
54%
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$0 Vol.
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$140 Vol.
50%
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$116 Vol.
42%
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$370 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sustained upward pressure on NVIDIA H200 GPU hourly rental rates, driven by explosive AI training and inference demand outstripping supply despite Blackwell B200 ramp-up. As of late April 2026, spot pricing on Vast.ai hovers at $2.26 per GPU-hour (25th percentile), Runpod on-demand at $3.99, and hyperscalers like AWS around $5, up roughly 40% for Hopper-generation chips since early March per Ornn Compute Price Index trends. Shortages persist, with even prior-gen H100s renewing at peak rates, signaling robust skin-in-the-game positioning. Key catalysts ahead include NVIDIA's late-May fiscal Q1 earnings on supply outlook and major model launches, potentially sustaining elevated pricing through the May 31 resolution benchmark.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Volumen
$4,622Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sustained upward pressure on NVIDIA H200 GPU hourly rental rates, driven by explosive AI training and inference demand outstripping supply despite Blackwell B200 ramp-up. As of late April 2026, spot pricing on Vast.ai hovers at $2.26 per GPU-hour (25th percentile), Runpod on-demand at $3.99, and hyperscalers like AWS around $5, up roughly 40% for Hopper-generation chips since early March per Ornn Compute Price Index trends. Shortages persist, with even prior-gen H100s renewing at peak rates, signaling robust skin-in-the-game positioning. Key catalysts ahead include NVIDIA's late-May fiscal Q1 earnings on supply outlook and major model launches, potentially sustaining elevated pricing through the May 31 resolution benchmark.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,622Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sustained upward pressure on NVIDIA H200 GPU hourly rental rates, driven by explosive AI training and inference demand outstripping supply despite Blackwell B200 ramp-up. As of late April 2026, spot pricing on Vast.ai hovers at $2.26 per GPU-hour (25th percentile), Runpod on-demand at $3.99, and hyperscalers like AWS around $5, up roughly 40% for Hopper-generation chips since early March per Ornn Compute Price Index trends. Shortages persist, with even prior-gen H100s renewing at peak rates, signaling robust skin-in-the-game positioning. Key catalysts ahead include NVIDIA's late-May fiscal Q1 earnings on supply outlook and major model launches, potentially sustaining elevated pricing through the May 31 resolution benchmark.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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