Anthropic's mid-April release of Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified its dominance on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena's Style Control On leaderboard, driving trader consensus to a 69% implied probability of retaining the #1 large language model spot by May 31. This frontier model's superior performance in controlled stylistic generation—outpacing prior Opus 4.6 iterations—reflects Anthropic's rapid iteration edge amid intensifying AI competition. Google trails at 27% with Gemini advancements bolstering its position in broader benchmarks, while OpenAI's 3.4% odds signal recent stagnation versus rivals. Lower-tier probabilities for xAI, ByteDance, and others stem from limited leaderboard traction. With one month to resolution, watch for surprise model drops or benchmark updates from labs like Google DeepMind that could shift the closely watched standings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic 69%
Google 27%
OpenAI 3.4%
xAI 1.1%
$71,330 Vol.
$71,330 Vol.
31 may 2026
Anthropic
69%
27%
OpenAI
3%
xAI
1%
ByteDance
1%
Meta
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Anthropic 69%
Google 27%
OpenAI 3.4%
xAI 1.1%
$71,330 Vol.
$71,330 Vol.
31 may 2026
Anthropic
$7,890 Vol.
69%
$5,058 Vol.
27%
OpenAI
$5,598 Vol.
3%
xAI
$4,154 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$5,933 Vol.
1%
Meta
$2,907 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$4,644 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$4,587 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$4,903 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$5,824 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$5,418 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$6,469 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$3,149 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$3,033 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$3,410 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's mid-April release of Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified its dominance on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena's Style Control On leaderboard, driving trader consensus to a 69% implied probability of retaining the #1 large language model spot by May 31. This frontier model's superior performance in controlled stylistic generation—outpacing prior Opus 4.6 iterations—reflects Anthropic's rapid iteration edge amid intensifying AI competition. Google trails at 27% with Gemini advancements bolstering its position in broader benchmarks, while OpenAI's 3.4% odds signal recent stagnation versus rivals. Lower-tier probabilities for xAI, ByteDance, and others stem from limited leaderboard traction. With one month to resolution, watch for surprise model drops or benchmark updates from labs like Google DeepMind that could shift the closely watched standings.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Volumen
$71,330Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's mid-April release of Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified its dominance on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena's Style Control On leaderboard, driving trader consensus to a 69% implied probability of retaining the #1 large language model spot by May 31. This frontier model's superior performance in controlled stylistic generation—outpacing prior Opus 4.6 iterations—reflects Anthropic's rapid iteration edge amid intensifying AI competition. Google trails at 27% with Gemini advancements bolstering its position in broader benchmarks, while OpenAI's 3.4% odds signal recent stagnation versus rivals. Lower-tier probabilities for xAI, ByteDance, and others stem from limited leaderboard traction. With one month to resolution, watch for surprise model drops or benchmark updates from labs like Google DeepMind that could shift the closely watched standings.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$71,330Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's mid-April release of Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified its dominance on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena's Style Control On leaderboard, driving trader consensus to a 69% implied probability of retaining the #1 large language model spot by May 31. This frontier model's superior performance in controlled stylistic generation—outpacing prior Opus 4.6 iterations—reflects Anthropic's rapid iteration edge amid intensifying AI competition. Google trails at 27% with Gemini advancements bolstering its position in broader benchmarks, while OpenAI's 3.4% odds signal recent stagnation versus rivals. Lower-tier probabilities for xAI, ByteDance, and others stem from limited leaderboard traction. With one month to resolution, watch for surprise model drops or benchmark updates from labs like Google DeepMind that could shift the closely watched standings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes