Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 release on April 16 has driven its commanding 98.2% implied probability as the top Math AI model on the LMArena leaderboard's Math category, topping competition-level benchmarks like AIME 2026 and MATH with scores exceeding 95% through enhanced chain-of-thought reasoning. This positions Anthropic ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.x variants and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro, reflecting trader consensus on its sustained Elo lead in blind user-voted evaluations. While near-resolution proximity minimizes risks, a last-minute OpenAI or Google model update surpassing it before April 30 noon ET could challenge this, though no such announcements have surfaced in the final days.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué empresa tiene el mejor modelo de IA matemática a finales de abril?
¿Qué empresa tiene el mejor modelo de IA matemática a finales de abril?
Anthropic 98.2%
OpenAI 1.7%
Google <1%
xAI <1%
$561,945 Vol.
$561,945 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Anthropic
98%
OpenAI
2%
<1%
xAI
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 98.2%
OpenAI 1.7%
Google <1%
xAI <1%
$561,945 Vol.
$561,945 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Anthropic
$275,516 Vol.
98%
OpenAI
$192,254 Vol.
2%
$32,928 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$7,032 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$30,800 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$754 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$4,074 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,682 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,932 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$1,805 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$2,493 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$2,098 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$8,246 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,613 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 release on April 16 has driven its commanding 98.2% implied probability as the top Math AI model on the LMArena leaderboard's Math category, topping competition-level benchmarks like AIME 2026 and MATH with scores exceeding 95% through enhanced chain-of-thought reasoning. This positions Anthropic ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.x variants and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro, reflecting trader consensus on its sustained Elo lead in blind user-voted evaluations. While near-resolution proximity minimizes risks, a last-minute OpenAI or Google model update surpassing it before April 30 noon ET could challenge this, though no such announcements have surfaced in the final days.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Volumen
$561,945Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 release on April 16 has driven its commanding 98.2% implied probability as the top Math AI model on the LMArena leaderboard's Math category, topping competition-level benchmarks like AIME 2026 and MATH with scores exceeding 95% through enhanced chain-of-thought reasoning. This positions Anthropic ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.x variants and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro, reflecting trader consensus on its sustained Elo lead in blind user-voted evaluations. While near-resolution proximity minimizes risks, a last-minute OpenAI or Google model update surpassing it before April 30 noon ET could challenge this, though no such announcements have surfaced in the final days.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$561,945Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 release on April 16 has driven its commanding 98.2% implied probability as the top Math AI model on the LMArena leaderboard's Math category, topping competition-level benchmarks like AIME 2026 and MATH with scores exceeding 95% through enhanced chain-of-thought reasoning. This positions Anthropic ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.x variants and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro, reflecting trader consensus on its sustained Elo lead in blind user-voted evaluations. While near-resolution proximity minimizes risks, a last-minute OpenAI or Google model update surpassing it before April 30 noon ET could challenge this, though no such announcements have surfaced in the final days.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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