Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84.5% implied probability that OpenAI CEO Sam Altman will deliver sworn oral testimony in Elon Musk's ongoing federal lawsuit against OpenAI (Case No. 4:24-cv-04527), driven by the trial's rapid progression in Oakland federal court. Musk, the plaintiff, just wrapped multi-day testimony on April 30—day four—accusing Altman of betraying OpenAI's founding nonprofit mission for humanity-benefiting artificial intelligence by pivoting to a Microsoft-backed capped-profit model now valued at $800 billion, fueling xAI's competitive rise. As a named defendant and central figure, Altman's testimony is anticipated next alongside Greg Brockman and Satya Nadella, with no reports signaling avoidance amid escalating scrutiny of AI governance and early commitments. Resolution hinges on court scheduling, but historical precedents in high-stakes tech disputes favor key executives taking the stand.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
Sí
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84.5% implied probability that OpenAI CEO Sam Altman will deliver sworn oral testimony in Elon Musk's ongoing federal lawsuit against OpenAI (Case No. 4:24-cv-04527), driven by the trial's rapid progression in Oakland federal court. Musk, the plaintiff, just wrapped multi-day testimony on April 30—day four—accusing Altman of betraying OpenAI's founding nonprofit mission for humanity-benefiting artificial intelligence by pivoting to a Microsoft-backed capped-profit model now valued at $800 billion, fueling xAI's competitive rise. As a named defendant and central figure, Altman's testimony is anticipated next alongside Greg Brockman and Satya Nadella, with no reports signaling avoidance amid escalating scrutiny of AI governance and early commitments. Resolution hinges on court scheduling, but historical precedents in high-stakes tech disputes favor key executives taking the stand.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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