Elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4% continue to constrain buyer affordability and transaction volume, contributing to the dispersed Polymarket probabilities across the $429k–$439k bands for the June 30 median home value. Recent data show modest year-over-year gains of 0.7–2.0% through May, with Redfin reporting a $398,771 median sale price and FHFA noting a 0.5% quarterly rise in Q1, while Zillow’s national home value index hovers near $370k amid flat-to-modest appreciation. Rising for-sale inventory and improved seasonal supply have offset limited demand, keeping price momentum subdued despite slight upticks in existing-home sales. The wide spread in trader-implied odds reflects uncertainty ahead of the June 24 FRED median sales price release and any late-month seasonal effects, as markets price in probabilities rather than directional certainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<$429k 29%
$431k - $433k 19%
$433k - $435k 16%
$429k - $431k 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$429k
29%
$429k - $431k
12%
$431k - $433k
19%
$433k - $435k
16%
$435,000 - $437,000
10%
$437 mil - $439 mil
7%
>$439k
6%
<$429k 29%
$431k - $433k 19%
$433k - $435k 16%
$429k - $431k 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$429k
$1,829 Vol.
29%
$429k - $431k
$1,636 Vol.
12%
$431k - $433k
$1,016 Vol.
19%
$433k - $435k
$668 Vol.
16%
$435,000 - $437,000
$309 Vol.
10%
$437 mil - $439 mil
$38 Vol.
7%
>$439k
$7 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4% continue to constrain buyer affordability and transaction volume, contributing to the dispersed Polymarket probabilities across the $429k–$439k bands for the June 30 median home value. Recent data show modest year-over-year gains of 0.7–2.0% through May, with Redfin reporting a $398,771 median sale price and FHFA noting a 0.5% quarterly rise in Q1, while Zillow’s national home value index hovers near $370k amid flat-to-modest appreciation. Rising for-sale inventory and improved seasonal supply have offset limited demand, keeping price momentum subdued despite slight upticks in existing-home sales. The wide spread in trader-implied odds reflects uncertainty ahead of the June 24 FRED median sales price release and any late-month seasonal effects, as markets price in probabilities rather than directional certainty.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Volumen
$5,504Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4% continue to constrain buyer affordability and transaction volume, contributing to the dispersed Polymarket probabilities across the $429k–$439k bands for the June 30 median home value. Recent data show modest year-over-year gains of 0.7–2.0% through May, with Redfin reporting a $398,771 median sale price and FHFA noting a 0.5% quarterly rise in Q1, while Zillow’s national home value index hovers near $370k amid flat-to-modest appreciation. Rising for-sale inventory and improved seasonal supply have offset limited demand, keeping price momentum subdued despite slight upticks in existing-home sales. The wide spread in trader-implied odds reflects uncertainty ahead of the June 24 FRED median sales price release and any late-month seasonal effects, as markets price in probabilities rather than directional certainty.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Volumen
$5,504Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4% continue to constrain buyer affordability and transaction volume, contributing to the dispersed Polymarket probabilities across the $429k–$439k bands for the June 30 median home value. Recent data show modest year-over-year gains of 0.7–2.0% through May, with Redfin reporting a $398,771 median sale price and FHFA noting a 0.5% quarterly rise in Q1, while Zillow’s national home value index hovers near $370k amid flat-to-modest appreciation. Rising for-sale inventory and improved seasonal supply have offset limited demand, keeping price momentum subdued despite slight upticks in existing-home sales. The wide spread in trader-implied odds reflects uncertainty ahead of the June 24 FRED median sales price release and any late-month seasonal effects, as markets price in probabilities rather than directional certainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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