Recent NAR data showing a $429,300 median existing-home sales price in May anchors trader sentiment for the June 30 U.S. median home value, with outcomes clustered tightly around $429k–$433k reflecting limited near-term movement. Persistent mortgage rates near 6.4% continue to weigh on buyer demand and transaction volumes, while modest inventory gains and subdued economic growth support only incremental price changes rather than sharp appreciation. FHFA and Redfin metrics similarly indicate 1–2% year-over-year gains through early 2026, consistent with forecasts for flat-to-low-single-digit advances amid elevated financing costs. With resolution imminent, short-term seasonal patterns and any final June transaction data represent the primary swing factors distinguishing the leading buckets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<$429k 32%
$431k - $433k 18%
$433k - $435k 15%
$429k - $431k 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$429k
28%
$429k - $431k
13%
$431k - $433k
18%
$433k - $435k
15%
$435,000 - $437,000
10%
$437 mil - $439 mil
8%
>$439k
7%
<$429k 32%
$431k - $433k 18%
$433k - $435k 15%
$429k - $431k 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$429k
$1,829 Vol.
28%
$429k - $431k
$2,236 Vol.
13%
$431k - $433k
$1,256 Vol.
18%
$433k - $435k
$668 Vol.
15%
$435,000 - $437,000
$309 Vol.
10%
$437 mil - $439 mil
$38 Vol.
8%
>$439k
$7 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Recent NAR data showing a $429,300 median existing-home sales price in May anchors trader sentiment for the June 30 U.S. median home value, with outcomes clustered tightly around $429k–$433k reflecting limited near-term movement. Persistent mortgage rates near 6.4% continue to weigh on buyer demand and transaction volumes, while modest inventory gains and subdued economic growth support only incremental price changes rather than sharp appreciation. FHFA and Redfin metrics similarly indicate 1–2% year-over-year gains through early 2026, consistent with forecasts for flat-to-low-single-digit advances amid elevated financing costs. With resolution imminent, short-term seasonal patterns and any final June transaction data represent the primary swing factors distinguishing the leading buckets.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Volumen
$6,104Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Recent NAR data showing a $429,300 median existing-home sales price in May anchors trader sentiment for the June 30 U.S. median home value, with outcomes clustered tightly around $429k–$433k reflecting limited near-term movement. Persistent mortgage rates near 6.4% continue to weigh on buyer demand and transaction volumes, while modest inventory gains and subdued economic growth support only incremental price changes rather than sharp appreciation. FHFA and Redfin metrics similarly indicate 1–2% year-over-year gains through early 2026, consistent with forecasts for flat-to-low-single-digit advances amid elevated financing costs. With resolution imminent, short-term seasonal patterns and any final June transaction data represent the primary swing factors distinguishing the leading buckets.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Volumen
$6,104Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NAR data showing a $429,300 median existing-home sales price in May anchors trader sentiment for the June 30 U.S. median home value, with outcomes clustered tightly around $429k–$433k reflecting limited near-term movement. Persistent mortgage rates near 6.4% continue to weigh on buyer demand and transaction volumes, while modest inventory gains and subdued economic growth support only incremental price changes rather than sharp appreciation. FHFA and Redfin metrics similarly indicate 1–2% year-over-year gains through early 2026, consistent with forecasts for flat-to-low-single-digit advances amid elevated financing costs. With resolution imminent, short-term seasonal patterns and any final June transaction data represent the primary swing factors distinguishing the leading buckets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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