Recent AI-driven wealth creation and tight housing inventory have fueled upward pressure on San Francisco Metro median home values, with Redfin reporting median sale prices near $1.7 million through May 2026 amid 16% year-over-year gains, though broader metro indices such as Zillow track closer to the $1.2 million range. Mortgage rates hovering near 6.3% have provided some affordability support relative to 2025 peaks, yet constrained supply and strong tech-sector demand continue to support elevated valuations. With the June 30 resolution approaching, the closely matched market-implied odds—led by the $1.216–1.230 million bucket at 36.5%—reflect trader uncertainty over whether the latest monthly data releases will confirm stabilization around current levels or show further acceleration driven by luxury segment strength.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado>$1.244M 46%
$1.230M - $1.244M 25%
$1.216M - $1.230M 10%
$1.174M - $1.188M 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$1.174M
4%
$1.174M - $1.188M
7%
$1.188M - $1.202M
4%
$1.202M - $1.216M
5%
$1.216M - $1.230M
10%
$1.230M - $1.244M
22%
>$1.244M
46%
>$1.244M 46%
$1.230M - $1.244M 25%
$1.216M - $1.230M 10%
$1.174M - $1.188M 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$1.174M
$38 Vol.
4%
$1.174M - $1.188M
$38 Vol.
7%
$1.188M - $1.202M
$38 Vol.
4%
$1.202M - $1.216M
$62 Vol.
5%
$1.216M - $1.230M
$345 Vol.
10%
$1.230M - $1.244M
$199 Vol.
22%
>$1.244M
$345 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)Recent AI-driven wealth creation and tight housing inventory have fueled upward pressure on San Francisco Metro median home values, with Redfin reporting median sale prices near $1.7 million through May 2026 amid 16% year-over-year gains, though broader metro indices such as Zillow track closer to the $1.2 million range. Mortgage rates hovering near 6.3% have provided some affordability support relative to 2025 peaks, yet constrained supply and strong tech-sector demand continue to support elevated valuations. With the June 30 resolution approaching, the closely matched market-implied odds—led by the $1.216–1.230 million bucket at 36.5%—reflect trader uncertainty over whether the latest monthly data releases will confirm stabilization around current levels or show further acceleration driven by luxury segment strength.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Volumen
$1,065Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)Recent AI-driven wealth creation and tight housing inventory have fueled upward pressure on San Francisco Metro median home values, with Redfin reporting median sale prices near $1.7 million through May 2026 amid 16% year-over-year gains, though broader metro indices such as Zillow track closer to the $1.2 million range. Mortgage rates hovering near 6.3% have provided some affordability support relative to 2025 peaks, yet constrained supply and strong tech-sector demand continue to support elevated valuations. With the June 30 resolution approaching, the closely matched market-implied odds—led by the $1.216–1.230 million bucket at 36.5%—reflect trader uncertainty over whether the latest monthly data releases will confirm stabilization around current levels or show further acceleration driven by luxury segment strength.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
Volumen
$1,065Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent AI-driven wealth creation and tight housing inventory have fueled upward pressure on San Francisco Metro median home values, with Redfin reporting median sale prices near $1.7 million through May 2026 amid 16% year-over-year gains, though broader metro indices such as Zillow track closer to the $1.2 million range. Mortgage rates hovering near 6.3% have provided some affordability support relative to 2025 peaks, yet constrained supply and strong tech-sector demand continue to support elevated valuations. With the June 30 resolution approaching, the closely matched market-implied odds—led by the $1.216–1.230 million bucket at 36.5%—reflect trader uncertainty over whether the latest monthly data releases will confirm stabilization around current levels or show further acceleration driven by luxury segment strength.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes