Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show San Francisco metro median sale prices near $1.7 million and typical home values around $1.39 million, reflecting 7-16% year-over-year gains driven by AI-sector demand, limited inventory, and faster days-on-market. These trends position the >$1.244 million outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 42.5%, with traders pricing in continued momentum from tech employment and supply constraints into late June. Lower bins receive reduced weight amid the observed appreciation trajectory, though modest cooling in broader Bay Area medians near $1.4 million introduces some dispersion around resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado>$1.244M 45%
$1.230M - $1.244M 25%
$1.202M - $1.216M 10%
$1.216M - $1.230M 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$1.174M
4%
$1.174M - $1.188M
7%
$1.188M - $1.202M
4%
$1.202M - $1.216M
10%
$1.216M - $1.230M
10%
$1.230M - $1.244M
21%
>$1.244M
45%
>$1.244M 45%
$1.230M - $1.244M 25%
$1.202M - $1.216M 10%
$1.216M - $1.230M 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$1.174M
$38 Vol.
4%
$1.174M - $1.188M
$38 Vol.
7%
$1.188M - $1.202M
$38 Vol.
4%
$1.202M - $1.216M
$62 Vol.
10%
$1.216M - $1.230M
$345 Vol.
10%
$1.230M - $1.244M
$199 Vol.
21%
>$1.244M
$345 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show San Francisco metro median sale prices near $1.7 million and typical home values around $1.39 million, reflecting 7-16% year-over-year gains driven by AI-sector demand, limited inventory, and faster days-on-market. These trends position the >$1.244 million outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 42.5%, with traders pricing in continued momentum from tech employment and supply constraints into late June. Lower bins receive reduced weight amid the observed appreciation trajectory, though modest cooling in broader Bay Area medians near $1.4 million introduces some dispersion around resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Volumen
$1,065Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show San Francisco metro median sale prices near $1.7 million and typical home values around $1.39 million, reflecting 7-16% year-over-year gains driven by AI-sector demand, limited inventory, and faster days-on-market. These trends position the >$1.244 million outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 42.5%, with traders pricing in continued momentum from tech employment and supply constraints into late June. Lower bins receive reduced weight amid the observed appreciation trajectory, though modest cooling in broader Bay Area medians near $1.4 million introduces some dispersion around resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
Volumen
$1,065Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show San Francisco metro median sale prices near $1.7 million and typical home values around $1.39 million, reflecting 7-16% year-over-year gains driven by AI-sector demand, limited inventory, and faster days-on-market. These trends position the >$1.244 million outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 42.5%, with traders pricing in continued momentum from tech employment and supply constraints into late June. Lower bins receive reduced weight amid the observed appreciation trajectory, though modest cooling in broader Bay Area medians near $1.4 million introduces some dispersion around resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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