Recent data from sources including Bright MLS and Zillow show median home values in the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro area hovering near or below $580,000 with year-over-year declines of 1–3% amid sharply higher active listings and softer demand tied to federal employment uncertainty. This softening, combined with the market's proximity to the June 30 resolution, underpins the 78% implied probability on the sub-$554k bucket as traders price in limited upside from current levels. Elevated inventory and mortgage-rate sensitivity continue to weigh on transaction prices, while upcoming June sales reports and any shift in Fed policy expectations represent the main near-term variables that could influence final settlement within the narrow remaining window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<$554k 78%
$554k - $558k 11%
$558k - $562k 6%
$562k - $566k 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$554k
78%
$554k - $558k
11%
$558k - $562k
6%
$562k - $566k
6%
$566k - $570k
5%
$570k - $572k
5%
>$572k
5%
<$554k 78%
$554k - $558k 11%
$558k - $562k 6%
$562k - $566k 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$554k
$448 Vol.
78%
$554k - $558k
$73 Vol.
11%
$558k - $562k
$73 Vol.
6%
$562k - $566k
$46 Vol.
6%
$566k - $570k
$46 Vol.
5%
$570k - $572k
$46 Vol.
5%
>$572k
$71 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---Recent data from sources including Bright MLS and Zillow show median home values in the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro area hovering near or below $580,000 with year-over-year declines of 1–3% amid sharply higher active listings and softer demand tied to federal employment uncertainty. This softening, combined with the market's proximity to the June 30 resolution, underpins the 78% implied probability on the sub-$554k bucket as traders price in limited upside from current levels. Elevated inventory and mortgage-rate sensitivity continue to weigh on transaction prices, while upcoming June sales reports and any shift in Fed policy expectations represent the main near-term variables that could influence final settlement within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Mercado abierto: Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Volumen
$802Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---Recent data from sources including Bright MLS and Zillow show median home values in the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro area hovering near or below $580,000 with year-over-year declines of 1–3% amid sharply higher active listings and softer demand tied to federal employment uncertainty. This softening, combined with the market's proximity to the June 30 resolution, underpins the 78% implied probability on the sub-$554k bucket as traders price in limited upside from current levels. Elevated inventory and mortgage-rate sensitivity continue to weigh on transaction prices, while upcoming June sales reports and any shift in Fed policy expectations represent the main near-term variables that could influence final settlement within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Volumen
$802Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent data from sources including Bright MLS and Zillow show median home values in the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro area hovering near or below $580,000 with year-over-year declines of 1–3% amid sharply higher active listings and softer demand tied to federal employment uncertainty. This softening, combined with the market's proximity to the June 30 resolution, underpins the 78% implied probability on the sub-$554k bucket as traders price in limited upside from current levels. Elevated inventory and mortgage-rate sensitivity continue to weigh on transaction prices, while upcoming June sales reports and any shift in Fed policy expectations represent the main near-term variables that could influence final settlement within the narrow remaining window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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