Recent data releases through May 2026 show Miami median sale prices holding near $650K with modest year-over-year declines of 0.4-1.2%, driven by rising active listings, extended days on market exceeding 100 days, and elevated homeowners insurance costs that have tempered buyer demand outside the luxury segment. These trends, alongside a shift toward a more balanced market with months of supply near 6, have reinforced trader consensus around the $1.138M-$1.171M band by implying limited near-term appreciation before the June 30 resolution. Broader factors such as persistent high mortgage rates and normalizing migration inflows continue to cap upside, while any acceleration in single-family transaction volumes or insurance relief could still influence final readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1.138M - $1.171M 59%
$1.105M - $1.138M 32%
$1.171M - $1.204M 9%
<$1.072M 7%
<$1.072M
7%
$1.072M - $1.105M
6%
$1.105M - $1.138M
32%
$1.138M - $1.171M
58%
$1.171M - $1.204M
9%
$1.204M - $1.237M
7%
>$1.237M
6%
$1.138M - $1.171M 59%
$1.105M - $1.138M 32%
$1.171M - $1.204M 9%
<$1.072M 7%
<$1.072M
7%
$1.072M - $1.105M
6%
$1.105M - $1.138M
32%
$1.138M - $1.171M
58%
$1.171M - $1.204M
9%
$1.204M - $1.237M
7%
>$1.237M
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent data releases through May 2026 show Miami median sale prices holding near $650K with modest year-over-year declines of 0.4-1.2%, driven by rising active listings, extended days on market exceeding 100 days, and elevated homeowners insurance costs that have tempered buyer demand outside the luxury segment. These trends, alongside a shift toward a more balanced market with months of supply near 6, have reinforced trader consensus around the $1.138M-$1.171M band by implying limited near-term appreciation before the June 30 resolution. Broader factors such as persistent high mortgage rates and normalizing migration inflows continue to cap upside, while any acceleration in single-family transaction volumes or insurance relief could still influence final readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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