Tight inventory, persistent buyer demand, and mortgage rates holding near 6% have supported modest Chicago home-value gains of 3-5% year-over-year, keeping trader focus on the narrow $339k-$345k range that commands over 42% combined probability. Redfin-reported median sale prices near $420k contrast with Zillow Home Value Index readings around $326k, underscoring source-specific resolution risk for the June 30 close. With only weeks left, final seasonal sales data and any late inventory shifts represent the main swing factors in this closely contested market, where small revisions can reallocate probability among adjacent bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$342k - $345k 22%
$339k - $342k 14%
<$339k 12%
>$354k 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$339k
12%
$339k - $342k
14%
$342k - $345k
22%
$345k - $348k
9%
$348k - $351k
8%
$351k - $354k
8%
>$354k
11%
$342k - $345k 22%
$339k - $342k 14%
<$339k 12%
>$354k 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$339k
$77 Vol.
12%
$339k - $342k
$51 Vol.
14%
$342k - $345k
$258 Vol.
22%
$345k - $348k
$173 Vol.
9%
$348k - $351k
$188 Vol.
8%
$351k - $354k
$46 Vol.
8%
>$354k
$185 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Tight inventory, persistent buyer demand, and mortgage rates holding near 6% have supported modest Chicago home-value gains of 3-5% year-over-year, keeping trader focus on the narrow $339k-$345k range that commands over 42% combined probability. Redfin-reported median sale prices near $420k contrast with Zillow Home Value Index readings around $326k, underscoring source-specific resolution risk for the June 30 close. With only weeks left, final seasonal sales data and any late inventory shifts represent the main swing factors in this closely contested market, where small revisions can reallocate probability among adjacent bins.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Volumen
$978Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Tight inventory, persistent buyer demand, and mortgage rates holding near 6% have supported modest Chicago home-value gains of 3-5% year-over-year, keeping trader focus on the narrow $339k-$345k range that commands over 42% combined probability. Redfin-reported median sale prices near $420k contrast with Zillow Home Value Index readings around $326k, underscoring source-specific resolution risk for the June 30 close. With only weeks left, final seasonal sales data and any late inventory shifts represent the main swing factors in this closely contested market, where small revisions can reallocate probability among adjacent bins.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Volumen
$978Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight inventory, persistent buyer demand, and mortgage rates holding near 6% have supported modest Chicago home-value gains of 3-5% year-over-year, keeping trader focus on the narrow $339k-$345k range that commands over 42% combined probability. Redfin-reported median sale prices near $420k contrast with Zillow Home Value Index readings around $326k, underscoring source-specific resolution risk for the June 30 close. With only weeks left, final seasonal sales data and any late inventory shifts represent the main swing factors in this closely contested market, where small revisions can reallocate probability among adjacent bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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