Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 at a mere 0.3% chance, reflecting the Trump administration's firm rejection on April 28 of Tehran's latest proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, end the fragile ceasefire, and defer nuclear restrictions. Ongoing indirect negotiations via Pakistani and Omani mediators have stalled over Iran's insistence on retaining uranium enrichment rights and US demands for verifiable curbs on its nuclear and ballistic missile programs, amid a US naval blockade pressuring Tehran. With the deadline expiring today at 11:59 PM ET, no official agreement has materialized, and President Trump's public vows to maintain the blockade until nuclear concessions underscore the impasse. Only an unforeseen late announcement or diplomatic breakthrough could shift this outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Un acuerdo nuclear entre Estados Unidos e Irán para el 30 de abril?
¿Un acuerdo nuclear entre Estados Unidos e Irán para el 30 de abril?
Sí
$2,524,703 Vol.
$2,524,703 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Sí
$2,524,703 Vol.
$2,524,703 Vol.
30 abr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 at a mere 0.3% chance, reflecting the Trump administration's firm rejection on April 28 of Tehran's latest proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, end the fragile ceasefire, and defer nuclear restrictions. Ongoing indirect negotiations via Pakistani and Omani mediators have stalled over Iran's insistence on retaining uranium enrichment rights and US demands for verifiable curbs on its nuclear and ballistic missile programs, amid a US naval blockade pressuring Tehran. With the deadline expiring today at 11:59 PM ET, no official agreement has materialized, and President Trump's public vows to maintain the blockade until nuclear concessions underscore the impasse. Only an unforeseen late announcement or diplomatic breakthrough could shift this outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ET
Volumen
$2,524,703Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 at a mere 0.3% chance, reflecting the Trump administration's firm rejection on April 28 of Tehran's latest proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, end the fragile ceasefire, and defer nuclear restrictions. Ongoing indirect negotiations via Pakistani and Omani mediators have stalled over Iran's insistence on retaining uranium enrichment rights and US demands for verifiable curbs on its nuclear and ballistic missile programs, amid a US naval blockade pressuring Tehran. With the deadline expiring today at 11:59 PM ET, no official agreement has materialized, and President Trump's public vows to maintain the blockade until nuclear concessions underscore the impasse. Only an unforeseen late announcement or diplomatic breakthrough could shift this outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$2,524,703Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 at a mere 0.3% chance, reflecting the Trump administration's firm rejection on April 28 of Tehran's latest proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, end the fragile ceasefire, and defer nuclear restrictions. Ongoing indirect negotiations via Pakistani and Omani mediators have stalled over Iran's insistence on retaining uranium enrichment rights and US demands for verifiable curbs on its nuclear and ballistic missile programs, amid a US naval blockade pressuring Tehran. With the deadline expiring today at 11:59 PM ET, no official agreement has materialized, and President Trump's public vows to maintain the blockade until nuclear concessions underscore the impasse. Only an unforeseen late announcement or diplomatic breakthrough could shift this outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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