Amid heightened US-Iran tensions over the naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and stalled nuclear negotiations, trader consensus reflects no high-level diplomatic meetings by April 30, 2026, following earlier indirect talks in Islamabad where US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner engaged Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi around April 25-26. Iran presented a new proposal to reopen the strait and end hostilities, but Tehran blamed Washington for impasse during Araghchi's Russia tour on April 27-28, while President Trump signaled openness to direct talks without scheduling any. A Japan-Iran summit phone call occurred April 30, but no US principals met Iranian counterparts before deadline, with focus shifting to potential military options as CENTCOM briefs Trump.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,955,591 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Donald Trump
<1%
J.D. Vance
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Jared Kushner
1%
Steve Witkoff
1%
$1,955,591 Vol.
Donald Trump
$740,384 Vol.
<1%
J.D. Vance
$687,128 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$65,584 Vol.
<1%
Jared Kushner
$243,838 Vol.
1%
Steve Witkoff
$218,658 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions over the naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and stalled nuclear negotiations, trader consensus reflects no high-level diplomatic meetings by April 30, 2026, following earlier indirect talks in Islamabad where US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner engaged Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi around April 25-26. Iran presented a new proposal to reopen the strait and end hostilities, but Tehran blamed Washington for impasse during Araghchi's Russia tour on April 27-28, while President Trump signaled openness to direct talks without scheduling any. A Japan-Iran summit phone call occurred April 30, but no US principals met Iranian counterparts before deadline, with focus shifting to potential military options as CENTCOM briefs Trump.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volumen
$1,955,591Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions over the naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and stalled nuclear negotiations, trader consensus reflects no high-level diplomatic meetings by April 30, 2026, following earlier indirect talks in Islamabad where US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner engaged Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi around April 25-26. Iran presented a new proposal to reopen the strait and end hostilities, but Tehran blamed Washington for impasse during Araghchi's Russia tour on April 27-28, while President Trump signaled openness to direct talks without scheduling any. A Japan-Iran summit phone call occurred April 30, but no US principals met Iranian counterparts before deadline, with focus shifting to potential military options as CENTCOM briefs Trump.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$1,955,591Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid heightened US-Iran tensions over the naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and stalled nuclear negotiations, trader consensus reflects no high-level diplomatic meetings by April 30, 2026, following earlier indirect talks in Islamabad where US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner engaged Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi around April 25-26. Iran presented a new proposal to reopen the strait and end hostilities, but Tehran blamed Washington for impasse during Araghchi's Russia tour on April 27-28, while President Trump signaled openness to direct talks without scheduling any. A Japan-Iran summit phone call occurred April 30, but no US principals met Iranian counterparts before deadline, with focus shifting to potential military options as CENTCOM briefs Trump.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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