Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's polling leads in the June 9 primary and general election matchup, combined with South Carolina's status as a Republican stronghold, drive trader consensus to 80% odds favoring a GOP victory. Recent Pulse Opinion Research (March 11-17) shows Graham at 41% in the Republican primary versus 21% for challenger Mark Lynch, potentially requiring a June 23 runoff absent a majority. Impact Research (February 25-March 1) has Graham ahead 47%-42% against leading Democrat Annie Andrews. Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect fundraising edges—Graham holds $11 million cash-on-hand—and decades without a Democratic Senate pickup, outweighing Graham's 61% unfavorability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Carolina del Sur
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Carolina del Sur
$27,333 Vol.
$27,333 Vol.

Republicano
80%

Demócrata
21%
$27,333 Vol.
$27,333 Vol.

Republicano
80%

Demócrata
21%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's polling leads in the June 9 primary and general election matchup, combined with South Carolina's status as a Republican stronghold, drive trader consensus to 80% odds favoring a GOP victory. Recent Pulse Opinion Research (March 11-17) shows Graham at 41% in the Republican primary versus 21% for challenger Mark Lynch, potentially requiring a June 23 runoff absent a majority. Impact Research (February 25-March 1) has Graham ahead 47%-42% against leading Democrat Annie Andrews. Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect fundraising edges—Graham holds $11 million cash-on-hand—and decades without a Democratic Senate pickup, outweighing Graham's 61% unfavorability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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