Incumbent Rep. Michael Guest (R) advanced unopposed in the March 10 Republican primary for Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, reinforcing trader consensus on a Republican hold at 91% implied probability in this solidly Republican seat rated as such by the Cook Political Report. Guest, who has secured large victory margins in prior cycles, faces Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, who also ran unopposed, amid a district with strong GOP voter registration advantages and no recent polling indicating competitiveness. With the November 3 general election six months away, markets price in minimal upset risk, though late-breaking scandals, health events, or a national Democratic midterm wave could narrow the gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMS-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MS-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$25,096 Vol.
$25,096 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
91%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$25,096 Vol.
$25,096 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$5,576 Vol.
91%
Partido Demócrata
$19,520 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Michael Guest (R) advanced unopposed in the March 10 Republican primary for Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, reinforcing trader consensus on a Republican hold at 91% implied probability in this solidly Republican seat rated as such by the Cook Political Report. Guest, who has secured large victory margins in prior cycles, faces Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, who also ran unopposed, amid a district with strong GOP voter registration advantages and no recent polling indicating competitiveness. With the November 3 general election six months away, markets price in minimal upset risk, though late-breaking scandals, health events, or a national Democratic midterm wave could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$25,096Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Michael Guest (R) advanced unopposed in the March 10 Republican primary for Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, reinforcing trader consensus on a Republican hold at 91% implied probability in this solidly Republican seat rated as such by the Cook Political Report. Guest, who has secured large victory margins in prior cycles, faces Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, who also ran unopposed, amid a district with strong GOP voter registration advantages and no recent polling indicating competitiveness. With the November 3 general election six months away, markets price in minimal upset risk, though late-breaking scandals, health events, or a national Democratic midterm wave could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,096Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Michael Guest (R) advanced unopposed in the March 10 Republican primary for Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, reinforcing trader consensus on a Republican hold at 91% implied probability in this solidly Republican seat rated as such by the Cook Political Report. Guest, who has secured large victory margins in prior cycles, faces Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, who also ran unopposed, amid a district with strong GOP voter registration advantages and no recent polling indicating competitiveness. With the November 3 general election six months away, markets price in minimal upset risk, though late-breaking scandals, health events, or a national Democratic midterm wave could narrow the gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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