Rhode Island's entrenched Democratic dominance in statewide elections, with no Republican gubernatorial win since 1990 and ratings as Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic victor in the November 3 general election. Recent April polls, including a University of New Hampshire survey (April 16-20) showing Helena Foulkes at 45% over incumbent Dan McKee's 11% in the September 9 Democratic primary, reinforce this positioning amid high undecideds but consistent Foulkes leads. Limited general election polling from Opinion Diagnostics (April 13-16) depicts both potential Democratic nominees ahead of Republican Aaron Guckian and independent Ken Block. Upsets could stem from a Democratic nominee scandal, Republican primary consolidation, or Block's crossover surge via heightened visibility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDemócrata 93%
Republicano 4.4%
Independiente 2.7%
$50,013 Vol.
$50,013 Vol.

Demócrata
93%

Republicano
4%

Independiente
3%
Demócrata 93%
Republicano 4.4%
Independiente 2.7%
$50,013 Vol.
$50,013 Vol.

Demócrata
93%

Republicano
4%

Independiente
3%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island's entrenched Democratic dominance in statewide elections, with no Republican gubernatorial win since 1990 and ratings as Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic victor in the November 3 general election. Recent April polls, including a University of New Hampshire survey (April 16-20) showing Helena Foulkes at 45% over incumbent Dan McKee's 11% in the September 9 Democratic primary, reinforce this positioning amid high undecideds but consistent Foulkes leads. Limited general election polling from Opinion Diagnostics (April 13-16) depicts both potential Democratic nominees ahead of Republican Aaron Guckian and independent Ken Block. Upsets could stem from a Democratic nominee scandal, Republican primary consolidation, or Block's crossover surge via heightened visibility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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