Rhode Island's deep Democratic lean, with no Republican governor since 2002, drives trader consensus toward the party's nominee in the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Dan McKee trails challenger Helena Foulkes by double digits in recent April polls like UNH (Foulkes 45%, McKee 11%) and others, reflecting McKee's low approval amid economic concerns. The September 9 primaries loom as the key near-term event, pitting these Democrats while Republicans like Aaron Guckian and independent Ken Block lag in early surveys. Disruptions such as a scandal-plagued nominee, GOP unity, or national midterm shifts could narrow the gap, though structural advantages and weak opposition sustain the frontrunner's edge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDemócrata 93%
Republicano 4.4%
Independiente 2.7%
$49,887 Vol.
$49,887 Vol.

Demócrata
93%

Republicano
4%

Independiente
3%
Demócrata 93%
Republicano 4.4%
Independiente 2.7%
$49,887 Vol.
$49,887 Vol.

Demócrata
93%

Republicano
4%

Independiente
3%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island's deep Democratic lean, with no Republican governor since 2002, drives trader consensus toward the party's nominee in the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Dan McKee trails challenger Helena Foulkes by double digits in recent April polls like UNH (Foulkes 45%, McKee 11%) and others, reflecting McKee's low approval amid economic concerns. The September 9 primaries loom as the key near-term event, pitting these Democrats while Republicans like Aaron Guckian and independent Ken Block lag in early surveys. Disruptions such as a scandal-plagued nominee, GOP unity, or national midterm shifts could narrow the gap, though structural advantages and weak opposition sustain the frontrunner's edge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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