Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89.5% implied probability of no change to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.25% for the May 27 Monetary Policy Statement, driven by the RBNZ's hawkish April 8 hold amid sticky inflation and subdued growth. March 2026 quarter CPI held steady at 3.1% year-over-year—above the 1-3% target band's 2% midpoint—with core measures at 3.2%, tempering cut expectations (0.3%) while geopolitical risks like the Iran conflict raise mild hike odds (7.5%) via potential second-round effects. Economists and the RBNZ Shadow Board overwhelmingly anticipate continuity, pending Q1 GDP and employment data; new MPC vote disclosures add transparency ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoReserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?
No Change 90%
Increase 8%
Decrease <1%
$21,425 Vol.
$21,425 Vol.
Increase
8%
No Change
90%
Decrease
<1%
No Change 90%
Increase 8%
Decrease <1%
$21,425 Vol.
$21,425 Vol.
Increase
8%
No Change
90%
Decrease
<1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89.5% implied probability of no change to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.25% for the May 27 Monetary Policy Statement, driven by the RBNZ's hawkish April 8 hold amid sticky inflation and subdued growth. March 2026 quarter CPI held steady at 3.1% year-over-year—above the 1-3% target band's 2% midpoint—with core measures at 3.2%, tempering cut expectations (0.3%) while geopolitical risks like the Iran conflict raise mild hike odds (7.5%) via potential second-round effects. Economists and the RBNZ Shadow Board overwhelmingly anticipate continuity, pending Q1 GDP and employment data; new MPC vote disclosures add transparency ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes