With six months until the November 3 general election, trader consensus clusters tightly around 47-51 Republican Senate seats, reflecting uncertainty in battleground races like Texas, North Carolina, Maine, Iowa, Michigan, New Hampshire, and Montana. Recent late-April polls show Democrats leading in Texas (Talarico +7/+8 over Cornyn/Paxton), North Carolina (Cooper +8 over Whatley), and Maine (Platner +9 over Collins), signaling potential offsets to the GOP's map edge defending 22 seats versus Democrats' 13 amid multiple Republican retirements including Ernst (IA), Tillis (NC), and Daines (MT). Historical midterm losses for the president's party add risk; primary outcomes, such as Texas's May 26 runoff and Ohio's special election today, along with national economic trends or approval shifts, could tip the balance toward separation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$2,132,610 Vol.
$2,132,610 Vol.
≤47
24%
48
13%
49
17%
50
18%
51
17%
52
8%
53
4%
54
1%
55
1%
56
1%
57+
3%
$2,132,610 Vol.
$2,132,610 Vol.
≤47
$57,051 Vol.
24%
48
$19,644 Vol.
13%
49
$14,877 Vol.
17%
50
$64,875 Vol.
18%
51
$163,661 Vol.
17%
52
$511,259 Vol.
8%
53
$16,806 Vol.
4%
54
$710,386 Vol.
1%
55
$394,975 Vol.
1%
56
$142,960 Vol.
1%
57+
$36,116 Vol.
3%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.With six months until the November 3 general election, trader consensus clusters tightly around 47-51 Republican Senate seats, reflecting uncertainty in battleground races like Texas, North Carolina, Maine, Iowa, Michigan, New Hampshire, and Montana. Recent late-April polls show Democrats leading in Texas (Talarico +7/+8 over Cornyn/Paxton), North Carolina (Cooper +8 over Whatley), and Maine (Platner +9 over Collins), signaling potential offsets to the GOP's map edge defending 22 seats versus Democrats' 13 amid multiple Republican retirements including Ernst (IA), Tillis (NC), and Daines (MT). Historical midterm losses for the president's party add risk; primary outcomes, such as Texas's May 26 runoff and Ohio's special election today, along with national economic trends or approval shifts, could tip the balance toward separation.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$2,132,610Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.With six months until the November 3 general election, trader consensus clusters tightly around 47-51 Republican Senate seats, reflecting uncertainty in battleground races like Texas, North Carolina, Maine, Iowa, Michigan, New Hampshire, and Montana. Recent late-April polls show Democrats leading in Texas (Talarico +7/+8 over Cornyn/Paxton), North Carolina (Cooper +8 over Whatley), and Maine (Platner +9 over Collins), signaling potential offsets to the GOP's map edge defending 22 seats versus Democrats' 13 amid multiple Republican retirements including Ernst (IA), Tillis (NC), and Daines (MT). Historical midterm losses for the president's party add risk; primary outcomes, such as Texas's May 26 runoff and Ohio's special election today, along with national economic trends or approval shifts, could tip the balance toward separation.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$2,132,610Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With six months until the November 3 general election, trader consensus clusters tightly around 47-51 Republican Senate seats, reflecting uncertainty in battleground races like Texas, North Carolina, Maine, Iowa, Michigan, New Hampshire, and Montana. Recent late-April polls show Democrats leading in Texas (Talarico +7/+8 over Cornyn/Paxton), North Carolina (Cooper +8 over Whatley), and Maine (Platner +9 over Collins), signaling potential offsets to the GOP's map edge defending 22 seats versus Democrats' 13 amid multiple Republican retirements including Ernst (IA), Tillis (NC), and Daines (MT). Historical midterm losses for the president's party add risk; primary outcomes, such as Texas's May 26 runoff and Ohio's special election today, along with national economic trends or approval shifts, could tip the balance toward separation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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