House Republicans cling to a razor-thin majority in the 119th Congress—217-212 with vacancies and a recent defection by Rep. Kevin Kiley—leaving Speaker Mike Johnson vulnerable to motions to vacate amid chronic attendance shortfalls from 2026 midterm campaigning. Recent dysfunction peaked with a partial DHS shutdown resolved April 30, securing three-year funding for ICE and CBP despite GOP holdouts forcing canceled Rules Committee meetings on FISA reauthorization and the farm bill. No motion to vacate has materialized in the past 30 days, but trader consensus reflects precarious whip counts and infighting; a November midterm loss would almost certainly end Johnson's speakership, while upcoming farm bill and budget votes test his hold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Mike Johnson sale como orador por...?
¿Mike Johnson sale como orador por...?
$100,354 Vol.
30 jun 2026
30 de junio de 2026
9%
31 de diciembre de 2026
65%
$100,354 Vol.
30 de junio de 2026
$4,632 Vol.
9%
31 de diciembre de 2026
$2,386 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.House Republicans cling to a razor-thin majority in the 119th Congress—217-212 with vacancies and a recent defection by Rep. Kevin Kiley—leaving Speaker Mike Johnson vulnerable to motions to vacate amid chronic attendance shortfalls from 2026 midterm campaigning. Recent dysfunction peaked with a partial DHS shutdown resolved April 30, securing three-year funding for ICE and CBP despite GOP holdouts forcing canceled Rules Committee meetings on FISA reauthorization and the farm bill. No motion to vacate has materialized in the past 30 days, but trader consensus reflects precarious whip counts and infighting; a November midterm loss would almost certainly end Johnson's speakership, while upcoming farm bill and budget votes test his hold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ET
Volumen
$100,354Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.House Republicans cling to a razor-thin majority in the 119th Congress—217-212 with vacancies and a recent defection by Rep. Kevin Kiley—leaving Speaker Mike Johnson vulnerable to motions to vacate amid chronic attendance shortfalls from 2026 midterm campaigning. Recent dysfunction peaked with a partial DHS shutdown resolved April 30, securing three-year funding for ICE and CBP despite GOP holdouts forcing canceled Rules Committee meetings on FISA reauthorization and the farm bill. No motion to vacate has materialized in the past 30 days, but trader consensus reflects precarious whip counts and infighting; a November midterm loss would almost certainly end Johnson's speakership, while upcoming farm bill and budget votes test his hold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$100,354Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...House Republicans cling to a razor-thin majority in the 119th Congress—217-212 with vacancies and a recent defection by Rep. Kevin Kiley—leaving Speaker Mike Johnson vulnerable to motions to vacate amid chronic attendance shortfalls from 2026 midterm campaigning. Recent dysfunction peaked with a partial DHS shutdown resolved April 30, securing three-year funding for ICE and CBP despite GOP holdouts forcing canceled Rules Committee meetings on FISA reauthorization and the farm bill. No motion to vacate has materialized in the past 30 days, but trader consensus reflects precarious whip counts and infighting; a November midterm loss would almost certainly end Johnson's speakership, while upcoming farm bill and budget votes test his hold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes