Trader consensus prices an 86% implied probability that Rep. Cory Mills remains in Congress past May 31, driven by his repeated public refusals to resign amid a House Ethics Committee probe into sexual misconduct allegations, campaign finance issues, and military service claims. Rep. Nancy Mace's mid-April resolution seeking his expulsion has gained limited traction, as GOP leadership including Speaker Mike Johnson has refrained from demanding his departure, unlike recent cases where Reps. Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick stepped down before ethics sanctions. Expulsion requires a two-thirds House vote—a steep hurdle in a slim majority—while primary challengers emerge but pose no immediate threat to his seat before the deadline. No further committee actions or votes are scheduled in the next month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
31 may 2026
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NUEVO
31 may 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cory Mills ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 86% implied probability that Rep. Cory Mills remains in Congress past May 31, driven by his repeated public refusals to resign amid a House Ethics Committee probe into sexual misconduct allegations, campaign finance issues, and military service claims. Rep. Nancy Mace's mid-April resolution seeking his expulsion has gained limited traction, as GOP leadership including Speaker Mike Johnson has refrained from demanding his departure, unlike recent cases where Reps. Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick stepped down before ethics sanctions. Expulsion requires a two-thirds House vote—a steep hurdle in a slim majority—while primary challengers emerge but pose no immediate threat to his seat before the deadline. No further committee actions or votes are scheduled in the next month.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cory Mills ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
Volumen
$7,684Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cory Mills ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 86% implied probability that Rep. Cory Mills remains in Congress past May 31, driven by his repeated public refusals to resign amid a House Ethics Committee probe into sexual misconduct allegations, campaign finance issues, and military service claims. Rep. Nancy Mace's mid-April resolution seeking his expulsion has gained limited traction, as GOP leadership including Speaker Mike Johnson has refrained from demanding his departure, unlike recent cases where Reps. Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick stepped down before ethics sanctions. Expulsion requires a two-thirds House vote—a steep hurdle in a slim majority—while primary challengers emerge but pose no immediate threat to his seat before the deadline. No further committee actions or votes are scheduled in the next month.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cory Mills ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,684Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices an 86% implied probability that Rep. Cory Mills remains in Congress past May 31, driven by his repeated public refusals to resign amid a House Ethics Committee probe into sexual misconduct allegations, campaign finance issues, and military service claims. Rep. Nancy Mace's mid-April resolution seeking his expulsion has gained limited traction, as GOP leadership including Speaker Mike Johnson has refrained from demanding his departure, unlike recent cases where Reps. Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick stepped down before ethics sanctions. Expulsion requires a two-thirds House vote—a steep hurdle in a slim majority—while primary challengers emerge but pose no immediate threat to his seat before the deadline. No further committee actions or votes are scheduled in the next month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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