Skip to main content
icon for Candidato presidencial republicano 2028
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

icon for Candidato presidencial republicano 2028
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

J.D. Vance 38.6%

Marco Rubio 20.9%

Tucker Carlson 6.0%

Donald Trump Jr. 2.9%

Polymarket

$594,943,244 Vol.

J.D. Vance 38.6%

Marco Rubio 20.9%

Tucker Carlson 6.0%

Donald Trump Jr. 2.9%

Polymarket

$594,943,244 Vol.

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$12,528,036 Vol.

39%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$8,370,174 Vol.

21%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$10,740,750 Vol.

6%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$7,593,473 Vol.

3%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$12,963,712 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$7,624,375 Vol.

2%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$14,500,636 Vol.

2%

icon for Thomas Massie

Thomas Massie

$3,541,006 Vol.

2%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$6,602,289 Vol.

1%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$11,711,474 Vol.

1%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$17,515,732 Vol.

1%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$5,623,493 Vol.

1%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$13,832,331 Vol.

1%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$6,559,260 Vol.

1%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$15,970,217 Vol.

1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$27,072,049 Vol.

1%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$8,432,737 Vol.

1%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$24,221,824 Vol.

1%

icon for Eric Trump

Eric Trump

$6,538,191 Vol.

1%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$18,573,246 Vol.

1%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$15,868,422 Vol.

1%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$18,355,366 Vol.

1%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$32,375,360 Vol.

1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$26,545,326 Vol.

1%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$17,653,786 Vol.

1%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$30,175,140 Vol.

1%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$27,078,039 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$29,824,498 Vol.

1%

icon for Título del ítem del grupo: Steve Bannon

Título del ítem del grupo: Steve Bannon

$19,968,095 Vol.

1%

icon for Pete Hegseth

Pete Hegseth

$5,483,298 Vol.

1%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$39,093,755 Vol.

1%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$15,112,699 Vol.

1%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$32,309,532 Vol.

1%

icon for Joe Kent

Joe Kent

$5,056,541 Vol.

1%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$39,530,628 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, propelled by his Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) reforms challenging food and pharmaceutical regulations, which resonate strongly with the GOP base, and his April midterm campaign travel to build support. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 38.6%, benefiting from his position as natural successor and tops in late-March CPAC (53%) and Yale Youth (83%) straw polls on electability, but weighed down by record-low approval ratings from failed Iran negotiations and mixed foreign policy signals. Secretary of State Marco Rubio holds 20.9% on diplomatic leadership in the Iran conflict and donor-backed draft efforts, highlighting a competitive early field ahead of 2026 midterms and primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$594,943,244
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, propelled by his Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) reforms challenging food and pharmaceutical regulations, which resonate strongly with the GOP base, and his April midterm campaign travel to build support. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 38.6%, benefiting from his position as natural successor and tops in late-March CPAC (53%) and Yale Youth (83%) straw polls on electability, but weighed down by record-low approval ratings from failed Iran negotiations and mixed foreign policy signals. Secretary of State Marco Rubio holds 20.9% on diplomatic leadership in the Iran conflict and donor-backed draft efforts, highlighting a competitive early field ahead of 2026 midterms and primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$594,943,244
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "J.D. Vance" con 39%, seguido de "Marco Rubio" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 39¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" ha generado $594.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es "J.D. Vance" con 39%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Marco Rubio" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.