Early June 2026 has featured unsettled Atlantic-driven weather with showers and spells of rain across southern England, consistent with Met Office guidance for a changeable start following an unusually warm May. Long-range outlooks indicate high pressure may strengthen mid-month, favoring drier, more settled conditions with only occasional showers, though model consensus remains modest on the exact balance. Historical London June rainfall averages 45-60 mm, placing the market’s leading 50-60 mm bin near climatology while adjacent ranges reflect uncertainty over whether lingering early-month totals or later high-pressure suppression will dominate final accumulation. Resolution hinges on total monthly gauge measurements, with ongoing forecast updates from the Met Office likely to refine trader positioning as the month progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrecipitation in London in June?
50-60mm 32%
40-50mm 31%
30-40mm 28%
80mm+ 25%
<30mm
16%
30-40mm
28%
40-50mm
31%
50-60mm
32%
60-70mm
27%
70-80mm
26%
80mm+
25%
50-60mm 32%
40-50mm 31%
30-40mm 28%
80mm+ 25%
<30mm
16%
30-40mm
28%
40-50mm
31%
50-60mm
32%
60-70mm
27%
70-80mm
26%
80mm+
25%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 27, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Early June 2026 has featured unsettled Atlantic-driven weather with showers and spells of rain across southern England, consistent with Met Office guidance for a changeable start following an unusually warm May. Long-range outlooks indicate high pressure may strengthen mid-month, favoring drier, more settled conditions with only occasional showers, though model consensus remains modest on the exact balance. Historical London June rainfall averages 45-60 mm, placing the market’s leading 50-60 mm bin near climatology while adjacent ranges reflect uncertainty over whether lingering early-month totals or later high-pressure suppression will dominate final accumulation. Resolution hinges on total monthly gauge measurements, with ongoing forecast updates from the Met Office likely to refine trader positioning as the month progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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