Trader consensus favors Rafael Grossi at 51% implied probability for next UN Secretary-General, driven by his high-profile role as IAEA Director General navigating nuclear diplomacy with Iran and others, bolstered by Argentina's firm nomination and strong performances in recent interactive dialogues with member states around April 21-22, 2026. Rebeca Grynspan holds 29% on her extensive UN experience as UNCTAD Secretary-General and Costa Rica's backing, emphasizing reform and peacemaking in her hearings. Michelle Bachelet's odds at 14.6% slipped after Chile's new conservative government withdrew her nomination last month, despite her human rights commissioner tenure. Macky Sall trails at 8.8%, nominated by Burundi rather than Senegal, amid the opaque Security Council vetting process expected this fall ahead of the January 2027 transition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
Rafael Grossi 51%
Rebeca Grynspan 29%
Michelle Bachelet 13.7%
Macky Sall 8.8%
$140,879 Vol.
$140,879 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Rafael Grossi
51%
Rebeca Grynspan
29%
Michelle Bachelet
14%
Macky Sall
9%
Rafael Grossi 51%
Rebeca Grynspan 29%
Michelle Bachelet 13.7%
Macky Sall 8.8%
$140,879 Vol.
$140,879 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Rafael Grossi
$3,562 Vol.
51%
Rebeca Grynspan
$1,487 Vol.
29%
Michelle Bachelet
$1,186 Vol.
14%
Macky Sall
$134,644 Vol.
9%
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Rafael Grossi at 51% implied probability for next UN Secretary-General, driven by his high-profile role as IAEA Director General navigating nuclear diplomacy with Iran and others, bolstered by Argentina's firm nomination and strong performances in recent interactive dialogues with member states around April 21-22, 2026. Rebeca Grynspan holds 29% on her extensive UN experience as UNCTAD Secretary-General and Costa Rica's backing, emphasizing reform and peacemaking in her hearings. Michelle Bachelet's odds at 14.6% slipped after Chile's new conservative government withdrew her nomination last month, despite her human rights commissioner tenure. Macky Sall trails at 8.8%, nominated by Burundi rather than Senegal, amid the opaque Security Council vetting process expected this fall ahead of the January 2027 transition.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Volumen
$140,879Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Rafael Grossi at 51% implied probability for next UN Secretary-General, driven by his high-profile role as IAEA Director General navigating nuclear diplomacy with Iran and others, bolstered by Argentina's firm nomination and strong performances in recent interactive dialogues with member states around April 21-22, 2026. Rebeca Grynspan holds 29% on her extensive UN experience as UNCTAD Secretary-General and Costa Rica's backing, emphasizing reform and peacemaking in her hearings. Michelle Bachelet's odds at 14.6% slipped after Chile's new conservative government withdrew her nomination last month, despite her human rights commissioner tenure. Macky Sall trails at 8.8%, nominated by Burundi rather than Senegal, amid the opaque Security Council vetting process expected this fall ahead of the January 2027 transition.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$140,879Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Rafael Grossi at 51% implied probability for next UN Secretary-General, driven by his high-profile role as IAEA Director General navigating nuclear diplomacy with Iran and others, bolstered by Argentina's firm nomination and strong performances in recent interactive dialogues with member states around April 21-22, 2026. Rebeca Grynspan holds 29% on her extensive UN experience as UNCTAD Secretary-General and Costa Rica's backing, emphasizing reform and peacemaking in her hearings. Michelle Bachelet's odds at 14.6% slipped after Chile's new conservative government withdrew her nomination last month, despite her human rights commissioner tenure. Macky Sall trails at 8.8%, nominated by Burundi rather than Senegal, amid the opaque Security Council vetting process expected this fall ahead of the January 2027 transition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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